Handball · Austria HLA · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: BT Fuchse vs Fivers WAT Margareten

Team pages: BT Fuchse · Fivers WAT Margareten

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.7Total

BT Fuchse30.6

Fivers WAT Margareten32.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

59% 41%

BT Fuchse Fivers WAT Margareten

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 62.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

BT Fuchse 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLLW

Fivers WAT Margareten 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

BT Fuchse 3–1–2 Fivers WAT Margareten (6 last)

Fivers WAT Margareten39-30BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse29-30Fivers WAT Margareten
BT Fuchse32-30Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten29-29BT Fuchse
Fivers WAT Margareten33-35BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse28-26Fivers WAT Margareten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BT Fuchse 1516 · Fivers WAT Margareten 1559

	BT Fuchse	Fivers WAT Margareten
Our model	54%	46%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 62.7 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.7BT Fuchse 30.6 · Fivers WAT Margareten 32.1

Over / Under 62.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~64.7 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours BT Fuchse: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BT Fuchse	Fivers WAT Margareten
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.6 / 30.5	33.8 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 32	34.4 / 32
Est. result	31	32

Est. total62.7

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.2

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 62.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:17 +9’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BT Fuchse 3–1–2 Fivers WAT Margareten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	39-30	BT Fuchse
22/05/26 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	29-30	Fivers WAT Margareten
14/03/26 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	32-30	Fivers WAT Margareten
25/10/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	29-29	BT Fuchse
01/03/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	33-35	BT Fuchse
12/10/24 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	28-26	Fivers WAT Margareten

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	4	4	0	0	125	117	8
2	SC Ferlach	4	3	1	0	122	109	7
3	Bregenz Handball	4	2	1	1	129	117	5
4	HC Linz AG	4	2	0	2	122	122	4
5	BT Fuchse	4	2	0	2	115	121	4
6	Fivers WAT Margareten	3	2	0	1	108	93	4
7	Alpla HC Hard	4	2	0	2	125	117	4
8	HSG Graz	3	2	0	1	94	97	4
9	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	4	1	0	3	111	111	2
10	Voslauer HC	4	1	0	3	114	120	2
11	UHK Krems	4	1	0	3	115	123	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	4	0	0	4	108	141	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BT Fuchse	Fivers WAT Margareten
Voslauer HC	28-35 L	31-32 L
Alpla HC Hard	35-33 W	33-31 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fivers WAT Margareten (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BT Fuchse

WLWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	27-26	W
19/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	25-27	L
12/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	28-35	L
05/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	35-33	W
27/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	30-39	L
22/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	29-30	L
06/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	28-27	W
02/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	30-28	W
18/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-33	L
15/04	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	33-27	W

Fivers WAT Margareten

WLWWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	32-34	L
09/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	42-27	W
05/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	34-32	W
06/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-32	L
03/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	33-35	L
27/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	39-30	W
22/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	30-29	W
09/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	33-31	W
05/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-32	L
01/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	33-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BT Fuchse vs Fivers WAT Margareten?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BT Fuchse 59% · Fivers WAT Margareten 41%).

How many points are expected in BT Fuchse vs Fivers WAT Margareten?

The model estimates 62.7 total points (BT Fuchse 30.6 · Fivers WAT Margareten 32.1).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to over 62.5 points (65%).