Handball · Austria HLA · 04/10, 16:30

Prediction: HSG Graz vs Bregenz Handball

Team pages: HSG Graz · Bregenz Handball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.9Total

HSG Graz30.9

Bregenz Handball31

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

HSG Graz Bregenz Handball

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Graz 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLWWL

Bregenz Handball 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

HSG Graz 1–5 Bregenz Handball (6 last)

HSG Graz29-32Bregenz Handball
Bregenz Handball33-29HSG Graz
Bregenz Handball37-28HSG Graz
HSG Graz33-29Bregenz Handball
Bregenz Handball33-29HSG Graz
HSG Graz31-35Bregenz Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Graz 1516 · Bregenz Handball 1519

	HSG Graz	Bregenz Handball
Our model	60%	40%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 61.9 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.9HSG Graz 30.9 · Bregenz Handball 31

Match keys

H2H favours Bregenz Handball: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Graz	Bregenz Handball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 30.1	32.8 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 30.6	32.2 / 29.2
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.9

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 61.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:08 +24’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Graz 1–0–5 Bregenz Handball

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	29-32	Bregenz Handball
09/05/26 Austria HLA	Bregenz Handball	33-29	HSG Graz
15/04/26 Austria HLA	Bregenz Handball	37-28	HSG Graz
22/11/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	33-29	Bregenz Handball
06/12/24 Austria HLA	Bregenz Handball	33-29	HSG Graz
31/08/24 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	31-35	Bregenz Handball

Standings · Austria HLA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	4	4	0	0	125	117	8
2	SC Ferlach	4	3	1	0	122	109	7
3	Bregenz Handball	4	2	1	1	129	117	5
4	HC Linz AG	4	2	0	2	122	122	4
5	BT Fuchse	4	2	0	2	115	121	4
6	Fivers WAT Margareten	3	2	0	1	108	93	4
7	Alpla HC Hard	4	2	0	2	125	117	4
8	HSG Graz	3	2	0	1	94	97	4
9	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	4	1	0	3	111	111	2
10	Voslauer HC	4	1	0	3	114	120	2
11	UHK Krems	4	1	0	3	115	123	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	4	0	0	4	108	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Graz	Bregenz Handball
HC Linz AG	29-36 L	30-23 W
Handball Tirol	25-24 W	34-33 W
UHC Hollabrunn	35-30 W	31-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Graz

LLWLWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	29-36	L
11/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-29	W
05/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	35-32	W
03/06	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-32	L
29/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	25-24	W
23/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-30	W
09/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-33	L
05/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	27-23	W
02/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	21-23	L
18/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	35-39	L

Bregenz Handball

LLWWWWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	34-27	W
19/09	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	33-33	D
12/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	30-23	W
05/09	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-34	L
03/06	HSG Graz Austria HLA	32-29	W
30/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	31-28	W
23/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	34-33	W
09/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	33-29	W
05/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	33-34	L
01/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	36-39	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Graz vs Bregenz Handball?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Graz 61% · Bregenz Handball 39%).

How many points are expected in HSG Graz vs Bregenz Handball?

The model estimates 61.9 total points (HSG Graz 30.9 · Bregenz Handball 31).