Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs TUS Lintfort (W)

Team pages: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)33.3

TUS Lintfort (W)25.8

1X2

80% 20%

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) TUS Lintfort (W)

Markets

Over 51.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWL

TUS Lintfort (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 3–3 TUS Lintfort (W) (6 last)

TUS Lintfort (W)25-31ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)44-27TUS Lintfort (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)35-26TUS Lintfort (W)
TUS Lintfort (W)30-27ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
TUS Lintfort (W)34-29ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)25-30TUS Lintfort (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 1528 · TUS Lintfort (W) 1377

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	TUS Lintfort (W)
Our model	78%	22%
Market	75%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +7.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 33.3 · TUS Lintfort (W) 25.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (rating 1528 vs 1377).
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	TUS Lintfort (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 27.9	25 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 26	24.6 / 32.2
Est. result	33	26

Est. total59.1

Line O/U51.5

Diff.7.6

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.85

Under 51.51.85

Diff.: 7.05 · Est. total: 58.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +26’	1.20	10.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 3–0–3 TUS Lintfort (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	25-31	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
03/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	44-27	TUS Lintfort (W)
22/02/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	35-26	TUS Lintfort (W)
19/10/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	30-27	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
16/03/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	34-29	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
28/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	25-30	TUS Lintfort (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Rodertal (W)	1	1	0	40	22	2
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	1	1	0	37	23	2
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	1	1	0	34	22	2
4	VfL Waiblingen (W)	1	1	0	32	26	2
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	1	1	0	36	31	2
6	Bergischer HC (W)	1	1	0	27	24	2
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	1	1	0	27	24	2
8	HSG Freiburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Rostocker HC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	1	0	1	24	27	0
10	TUS Lintfort (W)	1	0	1	24	27	0
12	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	1	0	1	31	36	0
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	1	0	1	26	32	0
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	1	0	1	22	34	0
15	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	1	0	1	23	37	0
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	1	0	1	22	40	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	TUS Lintfort (W)
Rostocker HC (W)	27-18 W	25-37 L
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	36-28 W	27-37 L
HC Leipzig (W)	26-28 L	22-27 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

LWWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-18	W
23/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-33	W
16/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
09/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
02/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-22	W
25/04	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-39	L
18/04	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-32	W
04/04	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
28/03	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-28	L

TUS Lintfort (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-37	L
24/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-27	L
16/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-39	L
09/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
03/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
26/04	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-32	L
18/04	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-32	L
05/04	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-37	L
28/03	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs TUS Lintfort (W)?

Our model gives 80% to ESV 1927 Regensburg (W).

How many points are expected in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs TUS Lintfort (W)?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 33.3 · TUS Lintfort (W) 25.8).