Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 05/09, 18:30
Prediction: Rostocker HC (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
56.5Total
Rostocker HC (W)28.7
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)27.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Rostocker HC (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Markets
Under 61.5 points 75%
Recent form · 10 last
Rostocker HC (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rostocker HC (W)
1–1
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
(2 last)
- HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)32-28Rostocker HC (W)
- Rostocker HC (W)24-23HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rostocker HC (W) 1442 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 1439
| Rostocker HC (W) | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
56.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points56.5Rostocker HC (W) 28.7 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 27.8
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Rostocker HC (W) | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 25.8 / 29.6 | 27 / 31.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 22.8 / 29.8 | 26.8 / 28.2 |
| Est. result | 29 | 28 |
Est. total56.5
Line O/U61.5
Diff.5
Over / Under25% / 75%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostocker HC (W) 1–0–1 HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) | 32-28 | Rostocker HC (W) |
| 04/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women | Rostocker HC (W) | 24-23 | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) |
Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HC Rodertal (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 22 | 2 |
| 2 | SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 23 | 2 |
| 3 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 22 | 2 |
| 4 | VfL Waiblingen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 26 | 2 |
| 5 | Fuchse Berlin (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 31 | 2 |
| 6 | Bergischer HC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 24 | 2 |
| 6 | HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 24 | 2 |
| 8 | HSG Freiburg (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Rostocker HC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 | TUS Lintfort (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 | SV Todesfelde (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 | SV Werder Bremen (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 | SG 09 Kirchhof (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rostocker HC (W) | HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) | 18-27 L | 32-39 L |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) | 25-29 L | 35-33 W |
| HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) | 23-34 L | 28-28 D |
| SG 09 Kirchhof (W) | 28-26 W | 34-23 W |
| Bergischer HC (W) | 20-28 L | 31-22 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rostocker HC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
18-27 | L |
| 23/05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
25-29 | L |
| 16/05 | HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
23-34 | L |
| 09/05 | VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
25-27 | L |
| 02/05 | SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
23-32 | L |
| 25/04 | SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
28-26 | W |
| 18/04 | HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
32-36 | L |
| 04/04 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
27-32 | L |
| 28/03 | TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
37-25 | W |
| 21/03 | Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
20-28 | L |
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
31-36 | L |
| 30/05 | Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
31-22 | W |
| 23/05 | Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
17-33 | L |
| 17/05 | SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
34-23 | W |
| 09/05 | SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
21-27 | L |
| 03/05 | HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
19-39 | L |
| 25/04 | HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
22-36 | L |
| 18/04 | ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
32-39 | L |
| 04/04 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
35-33 | W |
| 28/03 | HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women |
28-28 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rostocker HC (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Rostocker HC (W) 49% · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 51%).
How many points are expected in Rostocker HC (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)?
The model estimates 56.5 total points (Rostocker HC (W) 28.7 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 27.8).