Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 05/09, 19:30

Prediction: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)

Team pages: HC Rodertal (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.2Total

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)27.7

HC Rodertal (W)30.5

1X2

40% 60%

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) HC Rodertal (W)

Recent form · 10 last

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLW

HC Rodertal (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 1–1–4 HC Rodertal (W) (6 last)

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)26-31HC Rodertal (W)
HC Rodertal (W)26-291. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)26-26HC Rodertal (W)
HC Rodertal (W)35-261. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
HC Rodertal (W)33-251. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)28-31HC Rodertal (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 1477 · HC Rodertal (W) 1548

	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
Our model	50%	50%
Market	30%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 58.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.21. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 27.7 · HC Rodertal (W) 30.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Rodertal (W) (rating 1477 vs 1548).
H2H favours HC Rodertal (W): 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 30.2	33.2 / 26.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 29.8	36 / 25
Est. result	28	31

Est. total58.2

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.00

X8.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.75

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 59.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +30’	3.00	8.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 1–1–4 HC Rodertal (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	26-31	HC Rodertal (W)
17/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	26-29	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
29/03/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	26-26	HC Rodertal (W)
16/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	35-26	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
24/02/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	33-25	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
22/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	28-31	HC Rodertal (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Rodertal (W)	1	1	0	40	22	2
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	1	1	0	37	23	2
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	1	1	0	34	22	2
4	VfL Waiblingen (W)	1	1	0	32	26	2
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	1	1	0	36	31	2
6	Bergischer HC (W)	1	1	0	27	24	2
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	1	1	0	27	24	2
8	HSG Freiburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Rostocker HC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	1	0	1	24	27	0
10	TUS Lintfort (W)	1	0	1	24	27	0
12	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	1	0	1	31	36	0
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	1	0	1	26	32	0
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	1	0	1	22	34	0
15	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	1	0	1	23	37	0
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	1	0	1	22	40	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
HC Leipzig (W)	24-37 L	28-30 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	28-29 L	40-22 W
HSG Freiburg (W)	30-36 L	40-25 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HC Rodertal (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-22	W
30/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-37	L
23/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-31	L
16/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-30	L
09/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-29	L
02/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-27	L
25/04	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-33	L
18/04	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
04/04	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-27	W
28/03	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-36	L

HC Rodertal (W)

WLLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-22	W
30/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-25	W
23/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
16/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-25	W
09/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
02/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	21-31	L
25/04	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-22	W
18/04	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-32	L
05/04	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-30	L
28/03	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)?

Our model gives 60% to HC Rodertal (W).

How many points are expected in 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)?

The model estimates 58.2 total points (1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 27.7 · HC Rodertal (W) 30.5).