Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 12/09, 18:30

Prediction: SV Werder Bremen (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Team pages: SV Werder Bremen (W) · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.7Total

SV Werder Bremen (W)30.2

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)30.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

SV Werder Bremen (W) ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

SV Werder Bremen (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWLL

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

SV Werder Bremen (W) 3–3 ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (6 last)

SV Werder Bremen (W)35-26ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)31-39SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)26-28ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)38-27SV Werder Bremen (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)37-32SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)30-24ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Werder Bremen (W) 1527 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 1528

	SV Werder Bremen (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Our model	60%	40%
Market	45%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 60.7 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.7SV Werder Bremen (W) 30.2 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 30.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SV Werder Bremen (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.6 / 30.9	31.7 / 26.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 32	29.2 / 24
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.7

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 2.9 · Est. total: 60.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:47 +15’	2.00	8.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Werder Bremen (W) 3–0–3 ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	35-26	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
30/08/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	31-39	SV Werder Bremen (W)
12/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	26-28	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
16/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	38-27	SV Werder Bremen (W)
10/02/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	37-32	SV Werder Bremen (W)
23/09/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	30-24	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
1	VfL Waiblingen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	2	2	0	0	67	51	4
4	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	2	2	0	0	61	56	4
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	2	1	1	0	65	60	3
6	Bergischer HC (W)	2	1	1	0	56	53	3
7	HC Rodertal (W)	2	1	0	1	69	55	2
8	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	2	1	0	1	55	42	2
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	2	1	0	1	62	60	2
10	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	2	1	0	1	52	59	2
11	Rostocker HC (W)	1	0	0	1	24	31	0
12	SV Todesfelde (W)	2	0	0	2	57	66	0
13	HSG Freiburg (W)	1	0	0	1	28	39	0
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	2	0	0	2	54	68	0
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	2	0	0	2	39	58	0
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	2	0	0	2	44	69	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Werder Bremen (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	22-34 L	30-27 W
Rostocker HC (W)	32-23 W	27-18 W
HSG Freiburg (W)	29-36 L	34-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Werder Bremen (W)

LLWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-34	L
29/08	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-34	L
30/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-32	W
23/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-34	W
16/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-26	W
14/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-29	W
09/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-29	W
02/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-23	W
25/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-36	L
18/04	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-15	W
29/08	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-18	W
23/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-33	W
16/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
09/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
02/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-22	W
25/04	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-39	L
18/04	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-32	W
04/04	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Werder Bremen (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (SV Werder Bremen (W) 55% · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 45%).

How many points are expected in SV Werder Bremen (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)?

The model estimates 60.7 total points (SV Werder Bremen (W) 30.2 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 30.5).