Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin (W) vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin (W) · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59Total

Fuchse Berlin (W)31.2

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)27.8

1X2

70% 30%

Fuchse Berlin (W) 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWWDW

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin (W) 5–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) (6 last)

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)23-27Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)34-251. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)27-17Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)30-261. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)25-241. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)28-34Fuchse Berlin (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin (W) 1573 · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 1520

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
Our model	67%	33%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 59 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.2 · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 27.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuchse Berlin (W) (rating 1573 vs 1520).
Fuchse Berlin (W) is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33 / 27.2	30 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34 / 28.8	32.2 / 28.6
Est. result	31	28

Est. total59

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.75

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 59.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +23’	1.37	9.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin (W) 5–0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	23-27	Fuchse Berlin (W)
13/09/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	34-25	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
10/05/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	27-17	Fuchse Berlin (W)
04/01/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	30-26	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
25/05/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	25-24	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
20/01/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	28-34	Fuchse Berlin (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	6	6	0	0	195	165	12
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	6	5	1	0	221	167	11
3	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	6	4	2	0	206	175	10
5	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	6	5	0	1	189	165	10
6	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	5	4	0	1	158	122	8
8	HC Rodertal (W)	6	4	0	2	192	156	8
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	5	2	0	3	127	151	4
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	6	2	0	4	169	183	4
11	HSG Freiburg (W)	6	2	0	4	185	201	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	6	1	0	5	167	201	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	6	0	1	5	177	208	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	6	0	1	5	171	214	1
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	6	0	0	6	153	186	0
16	Rostocker HC (W)	6	0	0	6	146	212	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin (W)	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	40-37 W	28-29 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	36-31 W	29-26 W
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	36-27 W	31-30 W
HC Leipzig (W)	25-21 W	24-37 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin (W)

WLWWWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-37	W
10/10	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-36	D
19/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-22	W
12/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-20	W
05/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
30/08	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-31	W
30/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
23/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-17	W
16/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
09/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-21	W

1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)

LLLLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
10/10	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-24	W
19/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-34	W
12/09	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-30	W
05/09	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-29	W
29/08	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-22	W
30/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-37	L
23/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-31	L
16/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-30	L
09/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)?

Our model gives 70% to Fuchse Berlin (W).

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)?

The model estimates 59 total points (Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.2 · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) 27.8).