Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 16/09, 19:15

Prediction: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Handball Stafa

Team pages: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen · Handball Stafa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen32.7

Handball Stafa28.4

1X2

85% 15%

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Handball Stafa

Markets

Under 65.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLWLLW

Handball Stafa 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 5–1 Handball Stafa (6 last)

Handball Stafa31-33TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen33-26Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa23-32TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen34-24Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa21-35TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
Handball Stafa25-22TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 1528 · Handball Stafa 1410

	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Handball Stafa
Our model	75%	25%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 32.7 · Handball Stafa 28.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen (rating 1528 vs 1410).
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Handball Stafa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.7 / 29.1	29.8 / 34.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 29.8	28 / 37.6
Est. result	33	28

Est. total61.1

Line O/U65.5

Diff.4.4

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 4.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:15 +35’	1.04	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 5–0–1 Handball Stafa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	31-33	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
14/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	33-26	Handball Stafa
08/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	23-32	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
02/12/15 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	34-24	Handball Stafa
19/09/15 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	21-35	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
06/12/14 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	25-22	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	5	4	1	0	164	141	9
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	4	4	0	0	141	114	8
3	Pfadi Winterthur	5	2	1	2	155	135	5
4	BSV Bern Muri	4	2	0	2	123	114	4
5	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
6	Amicitia Zurich	4	2	0	2	132	134	4
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	118	121	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	4	1	0	3	109	125	2
10	Handball Stafa	4	0	0	4	108	154	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Handball Stafa
Pfadi Winterthur	27-25 W	21-39 L
HSC Suhr Aarau	31-32 L	32-34 L
HC Kriens-Luzern	26-34 L	33-42 L
BSV Bern Muri	34-30 W	21-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

WWLDLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-25	W
02/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-32	L
30/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-34	L
26/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
18/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	26-28	L
16/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-32	L
12/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
01/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-23	W
25/03	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-31	W

Handball Stafa

LWLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-42	L
02/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	21-39	L
29/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	21-34	L
26/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	33-39	L
25/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-34	L
22/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-32	W
19/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
15/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	30-33	L
12/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-31	W
01/04	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Handball Stafa?

Our model gives 85% to TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen.

How many points are expected in TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Handball Stafa?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 32.7 · Handball Stafa 28.4).