Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 23/09, 19:15

Prediction: Wacker Thun vs BSV Bern Muri

Team pages: Wacker Thun · BSV Bern Muri

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

Wacker Thun31.1

BSV Bern Muri32.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

Wacker Thun BSV Bern Muri

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Wacker Thun 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLWL

BSV Bern Muri 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Wacker Thun 2–1–3 BSV Bern Muri (6 last)

BSV Bern Muri34-29Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun32-32BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri31-27Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun35-30BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri33-30Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun33-27BSV Bern Muri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wacker Thun 1453 · BSV Bern Muri 1538

	Wacker Thun	BSV Bern Muri
Our model	48%	52%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3Wacker Thun 31.1 · BSV Bern Muri 32.2

Match keys

H2H favours BSV Bern Muri: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wacker Thun	BSV Bern Muri
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 33.5	31 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 32	31.4 / 28
Est. result	31	32

Est. total63.3

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.75

Under 62.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 62.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:41 +8’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wacker Thun 2–1–3 BSV Bern Muri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	34-29	Wacker Thun
12/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	32-32	BSV Bern Muri
09/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	31-27	Wacker Thun
22/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	35-30	BSV Bern Muri
25/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	33-30	Wacker Thun
13/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	33-27	BSV Bern Muri

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	5	5	0	0	179	146	10
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	6	4	1	1	196	179	9
3	Pfadi Winterthur	6	3	1	2	189	165	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	5	3	0	2	157	140	6
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	149	145	6
6	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
7	Amicitia Zurich	5	2	0	3	158	168	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	5	1	0	4	139	159	2
10	Handball Stafa	5	0	0	5	132	185	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wacker Thun	BSV Bern Muri
Amicitia Zurich	38-30 W	34-26 W
Kadetten Schaffhausen	35-42 L	29-31 L
RTV 1879 Basel	38-29 W	30-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wacker Thun

LLLDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-28	L
05/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	38-30	W
02/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-31	L
29/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
26/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W
16/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
12/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
01/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	31-35	L
25/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	31-43	L

BSV Bern Muri

DWLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W
26/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
02/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
29/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
25/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
16/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
12/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wacker Thun vs BSV Bern Muri?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Wacker Thun 52% · BSV Bern Muri 48%).

How many points are expected in Wacker Thun vs BSV Bern Muri?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (Wacker Thun 31.1 · BSV Bern Muri 32.2).