Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: HC Kriens-Luzern vs BSV Bern Muri

Team pages: HC Kriens-Luzern · BSV Bern Muri

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.4Total

HC Kriens-Luzern34.7

BSV Bern Muri31.6

1X2

81% 19%

HC Kriens-Luzern BSV Bern Muri

Recent form · 10 last

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

BSV Bern Muri 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLWD

Head-to-head

HC Kriens-Luzern 3–3 BSV Bern Muri (6 last)

HC Kriens-Luzern39-37BSV Bern Muri
HC Kriens-Luzern31-32BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri33-35HC Kriens-Luzern
BSV Bern Muri36-34HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern29-23BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri39-34HC Kriens-Luzern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Kriens-Luzern 1630 · BSV Bern Muri 1535

	HC Kriens-Luzern	BSV Bern Muri
Our model	72%	28%
Market	81%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 66.4 points · Bet365 line 66.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.4HC Kriens-Luzern 34.7 · BSV Bern Muri 31.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1630 vs 1535).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (81% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Kriens-Luzern	BSV Bern Muri
Points F\|A (Last 10)	37.4 / 31.2	30.8 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	37.6 / 30.4	31.4 / 27.2
Est. result	35	32

Est. total66.4

Line O/U66.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.11

X13.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.85

2 (+6.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 64.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +1’	1.11	13.00	7.50
14:06 +2’	1.22▲	10.00▼	5.00▼
15:01 +1’	1.11▼	13.00▲	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Kriens-Luzern 3–0–3 BSV Bern Muri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	39-37	BSV Bern Muri
23/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	31-32	BSV Bern Muri
22/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	33-35	HC Kriens-Luzern
01/05/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	36-34	HC Kriens-Luzern
26/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	29-23	BSV Bern Muri
24/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	39-34	HC Kriens-Luzern

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	6	6	0	0	222	181	12
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	7	5	1	1	231	207	11
3	Pfadi Winterthur	7	3	1	3	217	200	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	6	3	1	2	187	170	7
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	6	3	0	3	176	177	6
6	HSC Suhr Aarau	6	3	0	3	157	163	6
7	Wacker Thun	6	2	1	3	194	190	5
8	RTV 1879 Basel	6	2	0	4	171	186	4
9	Amicitia Zurich	6	2	0	4	193	211	4
10	Handball Stafa	6	0	0	6	153	216	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Kriens-Luzern	BSV Bern Muri
Amicitia Zurich	43-35 W	34-26 W
Kadetten Schaffhausen	38-32 W	29-31 L
Handball Stafa	42-33 W	34-21 W
Wacker Thun	31-26 W	30-30 D
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	34-26 W	30-34 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	43-35	W
20/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
05/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	42-33	W
02/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-26	W
30/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
26/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
30/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
27/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	41-36	W
24/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	37-33	W
03/05	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W

BSV Bern Muri

WLLLLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
16/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W
26/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
02/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
29/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
25/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
16/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Kriens-Luzern vs BSV Bern Muri?

Our model gives 81% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in HC Kriens-Luzern vs BSV Bern Muri?

The model estimates 66.4 total points (HC Kriens-Luzern 34.7 · BSV Bern Muri 31.6).