Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 23/09, 19:15

Prediction: RTV 1879 Basel vs TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Team pages: RTV 1879 Basel · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

RTV 1879 Basel30.2

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen32

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

RTV 1879 Basel TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RTV 1879 Basel 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

RTV 1879 Basel 2–4 TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen (6 last)

RTV 1879 Basel29-32TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen29-34RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel29-36TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen39-24RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel32-26TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen26-25RTV 1879 Basel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RTV 1879 Basel 1428 · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 1498

	RTV 1879 Basel	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
Our model	50%	50%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3RTV 1879 Basel 30.2 · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 32

Match keys

H2H favours TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RTV 1879 Basel	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 37.2	28.5 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 31.8	29.8 / 29
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62.3

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 62.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +29’	2.30	8.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RTV 1879 Basel 2–0–4 TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	29-32	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
23/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29-34	RTV 1879 Basel
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	29-36	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
05/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	39-24	RTV 1879 Basel
03/11/24 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	32-26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
04/09/24 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	26-25	RTV 1879 Basel

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	5	5	0	0	179	146	10
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	6	4	1	1	196	179	9
3	Pfadi Winterthur	6	3	1	2	189	165	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	5	3	0	2	157	140	6
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	149	145	6
6	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
7	Amicitia Zurich	5	2	0	3	158	168	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	5	1	0	4	139	159	2
10	Handball Stafa	5	0	0	5	132	185	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RTV 1879 Basel	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
Pfadi Winterthur	30-34 L	27-25 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	23-22 W	31-32 L
BSV Bern Muri	28-30 L	34-30 W
HC Kriens-Luzern	38-46 L	26-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RTV 1879 Basel

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
05/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	23-22	W
02/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	28-30	L
29/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
26/08	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
15/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	38-46	L
11/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-41	L
08/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
01/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-45	L
28/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	34-39	L

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

WLDLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-24	W
06/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-25	W
02/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-32	L
30/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-34	L
26/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
18/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	26-28	L
16/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-32	L
12/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
01/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RTV 1879 Basel vs TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RTV 1879 Basel 47% · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 53%).

How many points are expected in RTV 1879 Basel vs TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (RTV 1879 Basel 30.2 · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 32).