Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: Pfadi Winterthur vs Wacker Thun

Team pages: Pfadi Winterthur · Wacker Thun

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.6Total

Pfadi Winterthur31.7

Wacker Thun30.9

1X2

70% 30%

Pfadi Winterthur Wacker Thun

Recent form · 10 last

Pfadi Winterthur 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLDWL

Wacker Thun 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLWLD

Head-to-head

Pfadi Winterthur 2–3–1 Wacker Thun (6 last)

Pfadi Winterthur35-31Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun31-28Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur36-31Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun24-24Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur26-26Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun36-36Pfadi Winterthur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pfadi Winterthur 1493 · Wacker Thun 1471

	Pfadi Winterthur	Wacker Thun
Our model	63%	37%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 62.6 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.6Pfadi Winterthur 31.7 · Wacker Thun 30.9

Match keys

Pfadi Winterthur is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pfadi Winterthur	Wacker Thun
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 31.4	31.3 / 32.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 28.4	31.2 / 32.2
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.6

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 62.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +16’	1.32	9.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pfadi Winterthur 2–3–1 Wacker Thun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	35-31	Wacker Thun
17/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	31-28	Pfadi Winterthur
21/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	36-31	Wacker Thun
08/02/25 Switzerland Cup	Wacker Thun	24-24	Pfadi Winterthur
05/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	26-26	Wacker Thun
23/10/24 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	36-36	Pfadi Winterthur

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	6	6	0	0	222	181	12
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	7	5	1	1	231	207	11
3	Pfadi Winterthur	7	3	1	3	217	200	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	6	3	1	2	187	170	7
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	6	3	0	3	176	177	6
6	HSC Suhr Aarau	6	3	0	3	157	163	6
7	Wacker Thun	6	2	1	3	194	190	5
8	RTV 1879 Basel	6	2	0	4	171	186	4
9	Amicitia Zurich	6	2	0	4	193	211	4
10	Handball Stafa	6	0	0	6	153	216	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pfadi Winterthur	Wacker Thun
Kadetten Schaffhausen	28-35 L	35-42 L
RTV 1879 Basel	34-30 W	38-29 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	33-24 W	27-28 L
HC Kriens-Luzern	29-34 L	26-31 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pfadi Winterthur

LLLLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-35	L
16/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
12/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
02/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-21	W
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L

Wacker Thun

LLDLWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
12/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-28	L
05/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	38-30	W
02/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-31	L
29/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
26/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W
16/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
12/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
01/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	31-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pfadi Winterthur vs Wacker Thun?

Our model gives 70% to Pfadi Winterthur.

How many points are expected in Pfadi Winterthur vs Wacker Thun?

The model estimates 62.6 total points (Pfadi Winterthur 31.7 · Wacker Thun 30.9).