Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 26/08, 19:15

Prediction: Wacker Thun vs RTV 1879 Basel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.7Total

Wacker Thun33.7

RTV 1879 Basel33

1X2

67% 33%

Wacker Thun RTV 1879 Basel

Markets

Over 61.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Wacker Thun 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLDL

RTV 1879 Basel 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Wacker Thun 3–1–2 RTV 1879 Basel (6 last)

Wacker Thun36-38RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel33-26Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun32-31RTV 1879 Basel
Wacker Thun30-26RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel24-27Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun22-22RTV 1879 Basel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wacker Thun 1455 · RTV 1879 Basel 1477

	Wacker Thun	RTV 1879 Basel
Our model	57%	43%
Market	66%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 66.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.7Wacker Thun 33.7 · RTV 1879 Basel 33

Match keys

Wacker Thun is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Wacker Thun: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wacker Thun	RTV 1879 Basel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 33.6	33 / 37.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 35	33 / 42.6
Est. result	34	33

Est. total66.7

Line O/U61.5

Diff.5.2

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.75

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 67.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:31 +15’	1.37	9.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wacker Thun 3–1–2 RTV 1879 Basel

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	36-38	RTV 1879 Basel
13/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	33-26	Wacker Thun
08/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	32-31	RTV 1879 Basel
12/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	30-26	RTV 1879 Basel
04/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	24-27	Wacker Thun
02/10/24 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	22-22	RTV 1879 Basel

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wacker Thun	RTV 1879 Basel
Pfadi Winterthur	31-35 L	32-32 D
HC Kriens-Luzern	31-43 L	38-46 L
Handball Stafa	39-36 W	30-29 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RTV 1879 Basel (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wacker Thun

WWWLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
12/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
01/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	31-35	L
25/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	31-43	L
11/03	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	36-38	L
04/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	25-31	L
28/02	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-36	W
22/02	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	35-30	W
15/02	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	27-26	W

RTV 1879 Basel

WLWWDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	38-46	L
11/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-41	L
08/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
01/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-45	L
28/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	34-39	L
25/03	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
11/03	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	38-36	W
07/03	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	30-26	W
28/02	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-40	L
22/02	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wacker Thun vs RTV 1879 Basel?

Our model gives 67% to Wacker Thun.

How many points are expected in Wacker Thun vs RTV 1879 Basel?

The model estimates 66.7 total points (Wacker Thun 33.7 · RTV 1879 Basel 33).