Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 02/09, 19:15

Prediction: Pfadi Winterthur vs Handball Stafa

Team pages: Pfadi Winterthur · Handball Stafa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.4Total

Pfadi Winterthur33.9

Handball Stafa30.5

1X2

85% 15%

Pfadi Winterthur Handball Stafa

Markets

Under 66.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Pfadi Winterthur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLLW

Handball Stafa 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Pfadi Winterthur 6–0 Handball Stafa (6 last)

Pfadi Winterthur35-26Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa37-40Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur36-27Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa20-32Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur35-21Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa26-28Pfadi Winterthur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pfadi Winterthur 1521 · Handball Stafa 1407

	Pfadi Winterthur	Handball Stafa
Our model	74%	26%
Market	88%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 64.4 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.4Pfadi Winterthur 33.9 · Handball Stafa 30.5

Over / Under 66.5Under · 85%recent trend · ~63.4 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pfadi Winterthur (rating 1521 vs 1407).
Pfadi Winterthur is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pfadi Winterthur	Handball Stafa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 30.8	29.8 / 33.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 34.4	29.8 / 34
Est. result	34	31

Est. total64.4

Line O/U66.5

Diff.2.1

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

X18.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.85

2 (+9.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 4.3 · Est. total: 62.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:27 +18’	1.02	18.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pfadi Winterthur 6–0–0 Handball Stafa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	35-26	Handball Stafa
25/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	37-40	Pfadi Winterthur
28/08/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	36-27	Handball Stafa
16/12/15 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	20-32	Pfadi Winterthur
07/10/15 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	35-21	Handball Stafa
26/11/14 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	26-28	Pfadi Winterthur

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	2	2	0	70	55	4
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	2	2	0	68	55	4
3	Amicitia Zurich	2	2	0	74	62	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	2	1	1	64	55	2
5	Pfadi Winterthur	2	1	1	62	58	2
6	Wacker Thun	2	1	1	73	71	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	2	1	1	60	64	2
8	RTV 1879 Basel	2	0	2	58	73	0
9	HSC Suhr Aarau	2	0	2	44	61	0
10	Handball Stafa	2	0	2	54	73	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pfadi Winterthur	Handball Stafa
HSC Suhr Aarau	33-24 W	32-34 L
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	28-26 W	31-33 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pfadi Winterthur (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pfadi Winterthur

WWDWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L
18/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-26	W
16/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W
12/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	29-28	W
01/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	35-31	W

Handball Stafa

LLLWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	21-34	L
26/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	33-39	L
25/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-34	L
22/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-32	W
19/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
15/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	30-33	L
12/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-31	W
01/04	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L
25/03	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	31-33	L
14/03	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	23-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pfadi Winterthur vs Handball Stafa?

Our model gives 85% to Pfadi Winterthur.

How many points are expected in Pfadi Winterthur vs Handball Stafa?

The model estimates 64.4 total points (Pfadi Winterthur 33.9 · Handball Stafa 30.5).

Over or under 66.5 points?

Recent history points to under 66.5 points (85%).