Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: RTV 1879 Basel vs HSC Suhr Aarau

Team pages: RTV 1879 Basel · HSC Suhr Aarau

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.6Total

RTV 1879 Basel30.4

HSC Suhr Aarau31.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

RTV 1879 Basel HSC Suhr Aarau

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 56.5 points 90%

Recent form · 10 last

RTV 1879 Basel 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLLL

HSC Suhr Aarau 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

RTV 1879 Basel 1–5 HSC Suhr Aarau (6 last)

HSC Suhr Aarau31-22RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel21-29HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau21-23RTV 1879 Basel
HSC Suhr Aarau26-25RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel28-30HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau37-29RTV 1879 Basel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RTV 1879 Basel 1431 · HSC Suhr Aarau 1483

	RTV 1879 Basel	HSC Suhr Aarau
Our model	53%	47%
Market	50%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 61.6 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +5.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.6RTV 1879 Basel 30.4 · HSC Suhr Aarau 31.2

Match keys

H2H favours HSC Suhr Aarau: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RTV 1879 Basel	HSC Suhr Aarau
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 38.4	28.7 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 38	28.4 / 31.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total61.6

Line O/U56.5

Diff.5.1

Over / Under90% / 10%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 8.7 · Est. total: 65.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:35 +13’	1.85	8.00	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RTV 1879 Basel 1–0–5 HSC Suhr Aarau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	31-22	RTV 1879 Basel
05/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	21-29	HSC Suhr Aarau
21/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	21-23	RTV 1879 Basel
22/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	26-25	RTV 1879 Basel
11/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	28-30	HSC Suhr Aarau
22/09/24 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	37-29	RTV 1879 Basel

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	3	3	0	104	83	6
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	3	3	0	99	81	6
3	Pfadi Winterthur	3	2	1	101	79	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	3	2	1	94	83	4
5	Amicitia Zurich	3	2	1	102	96	4
6	Wacker Thun	3	1	2	99	102	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	3	1	2	91	96	2
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	3	1	2	76	92	2
9	RTV 1879 Basel	3	0	3	86	103	0
10	Handball Stafa	3	0	3	75	112	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RTV 1879 Basel	HSC Suhr Aarau
Amicitia Zurich	29-35 L	27-31 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	29-45 L	20-28 L
Pfadi Winterthur	32-32 D	24-33 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HSC Suhr Aarau (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RTV 1879 Basel

WDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	28-30	L
29/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
26/08	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
15/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	38-46	L
11/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-41	L
08/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
01/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-45	L
28/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	34-39	L
25/03	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
11/03	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	38-36	W

HSC Suhr Aarau

LLLWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-31	W
30/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-33	L
26/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	20-28	L
25/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
22/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L
19/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-30	W
15/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-30	W
12/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-33	L
01/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	23-31	L
25/03	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RTV 1879 Basel vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RTV 1879 Basel 55% · HSC Suhr Aarau 45%).

How many points are expected in RTV 1879 Basel vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

The model estimates 61.6 total points (RTV 1879 Basel 30.4 · HSC Suhr Aarau 31.2).