Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Wacker Thun vs Amicitia Zurich

Team pages: Wacker Thun · Amicitia Zurich

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

Wacker Thun31.2

Amicitia Zurich30.6

1X2

66% 34%

Wacker Thun Amicitia Zurich

Recent form · 10 last

Wacker Thun 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLWLL

Amicitia Zurich 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Wacker Thun 5–1 Amicitia Zurich (6 last)

Amicitia Zurich27-30Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun30-23Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich27-30Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun28-26Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich30-35Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun28-29Amicitia Zurich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wacker Thun 1456 · Amicitia Zurich 1457

	Wacker Thun	Amicitia Zurich
Our model	60%	40%
Market	63%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8Wacker Thun 31.2 · Amicitia Zurich 30.6

Match keys

Wacker Thun is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Wacker Thun: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wacker Thun	Amicitia Zurich
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 34.6	29.6 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 33.6	30.8 / 32.6
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.8

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 63.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +19’	1.42	8.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wacker Thun 5–0–1 Amicitia Zurich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	27-30	Wacker Thun
11/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	30-23	Amicitia Zurich
06/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	27-30	Wacker Thun
29/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	28-26	Amicitia Zurich
15/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	30-35	Wacker Thun
11/09/24 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	28-29	Amicitia Zurich

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	3	3	0	104	83	6
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	3	3	0	99	81	6
3	Pfadi Winterthur	3	2	1	101	79	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	3	2	1	94	83	4
5	Amicitia Zurich	3	2	1	102	96	4
6	Wacker Thun	3	1	2	99	102	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	3	1	2	91	96	2
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	3	1	2	76	92	2
9	RTV 1879 Basel	3	0	3	86	103	0
10	Handball Stafa	3	0	3	75	112	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wacker Thun	Amicitia Zurich
Kadetten Schaffhausen	35-42 L	28-34 L
RTV 1879 Basel	38-29 W	35-29 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	25-31 L	31-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Amicitia Zurich (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wacker Thun

LLLLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-31	L
29/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
26/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W
16/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
12/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
01/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	31-35	L
25/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	31-43	L
11/03	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	36-38	L
04/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	25-31	L

Amicitia Zurich

LLWWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-34	L
29/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W
26/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
15/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
11/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	25-36	L
08/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-32	L
01/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-32	W
25/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-27	W
11/03	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	24-25	L
07/03	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wacker Thun vs Amicitia Zurich?

Our model gives 66% to Wacker Thun.

How many points are expected in Wacker Thun vs Amicitia Zurich?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (Wacker Thun 31.2 · Amicitia Zurich 30.6).