Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 02/09, 19:15

Prediction: HC Kriens-Luzern vs Wacker Thun

Team pages: HC Kriens-Luzern · Wacker Thun

Prediction summary

Estimated points

69.1Total

HC Kriens-Luzern37.9

Wacker Thun31.3

1X2

88% 12%

HC Kriens-Luzern Wacker Thun

Recent form · 10 last

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Wacker Thun 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

HC Kriens-Luzern 6–0 Wacker Thun (6 last)

Wacker Thun31-43HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern37-27Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun30-34HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern33-32Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun32-33HC Kriens-Luzern
Wacker Thun26-29HC Kriens-Luzern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Kriens-Luzern 1647 · Wacker Thun 1432

	HC Kriens-Luzern	Wacker Thun
Our model	84%	16%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 69.1 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points69.1HC Kriens-Luzern 37.9 · Wacker Thun 31.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1647 vs 1432).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours HC Kriens-Luzern: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Kriens-Luzern	Wacker Thun
Points F\|A (Last 10)	38.6 / 31.3	32.3 / 35.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	37 / 31.4	32.2 / 33.6
Est. result	38	31

Est. total69.1

Line O/U65.5

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 3.15 · Est. total: 68.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:38 +8’	1.04	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Kriens-Luzern 6–0–0 Wacker Thun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	31-43	HC Kriens-Luzern
15/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	37-27	Wacker Thun
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	30-34	HC Kriens-Luzern
05/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	33-32	Wacker Thun
01/03/25 Switzerland Cup	Wacker Thun	32-33	HC Kriens-Luzern
11/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	26-29	HC Kriens-Luzern

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	2	2	0	70	55	4
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	2	2	0	68	55	4
3	Amicitia Zurich	2	2	0	74	62	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	2	1	1	64	55	2
5	Pfadi Winterthur	2	1	1	62	58	2
6	Wacker Thun	2	1	1	73	71	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	2	1	1	60	64	2
8	RTV 1879 Basel	2	0	2	58	73	0
9	HSC Suhr Aarau	2	0	2	44	61	0
10	Handball Stafa	2	0	2	54	73	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Kriens-Luzern	Wacker Thun
Pfadi Winterthur	34-29 W	31-35 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	39-33 W	35-42 L
RTV 1879 Basel	46-38 W	38-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
26/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
30/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
27/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	41-36	W
24/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	37-33	W
03/05	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W
30/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	41-33	W
26/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	38-27	W
15/04	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	46-38	W
11/04	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	41-29	W

Wacker Thun

WLLLLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
26/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W
16/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
12/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
01/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	31-35	L
25/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	31-43	L
11/03	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	36-38	L
04/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	25-31	L
28/02	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-36	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Kriens-Luzern vs Wacker Thun?

Our model gives 88% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in HC Kriens-Luzern vs Wacker Thun?

The model estimates 69.1 total points (HC Kriens-Luzern 37.9 · Wacker Thun 31.3).