Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 30/08, 17:00

Prediction: Pfadi Winterthur vs HSC Suhr Aarau

Team pages: Pfadi Winterthur · HSC Suhr Aarau

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

Pfadi Winterthur31.6

HSC Suhr Aarau29.4

1X2

78% 22%

Pfadi Winterthur HSC Suhr Aarau

Markets

Over 59.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Pfadi Winterthur 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWLLLL

HSC Suhr Aarau 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Pfadi Winterthur 4–1–1 HSC Suhr Aarau (6 last)

Pfadi Winterthur34-27HSC Suhr Aarau
Pfadi Winterthur36-30HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau29-33Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur34-25HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau31-26Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur28-28HSC Suhr Aarau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pfadi Winterthur 1515 · HSC Suhr Aarau 1449

	Pfadi Winterthur	HSC Suhr Aarau
Our model	69%	31%
Market	78%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61Pfadi Winterthur 31.6 · HSC Suhr Aarau 29.4

Over / Under 59.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~61.7 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pfadi Winterthur (rating 1515 vs 1449).
Pfadi Winterthur is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pfadi Winterthur	HSC Suhr Aarau
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 31.6	28.9 / 30.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 34.8	30 / 30.6
Est. result	32	29

Est. total61

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.5

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X11.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 60.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +9’	1.15	11.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pfadi Winterthur 4–1–1 HSC Suhr Aarau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	34-27	HSC Suhr Aarau
30/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	36-30	HSC Suhr Aarau
19/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	29-33	Pfadi Winterthur
01/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	34-25	HSC Suhr Aarau
08/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	31-26	Pfadi Winterthur
02/11/24 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	28-28	HSC Suhr Aarau

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	2	2	0	70	55	4
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	2	2	0	68	55	4
3	Amicitia Zurich	2	2	0	74	62	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	2	1	1	64	55	2
5	Pfadi Winterthur	2	1	1	62	58	2
6	Wacker Thun	2	1	1	73	71	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	2	1	1	60	64	2
8	RTV 1879 Basel	2	0	2	58	73	0
9	HSC Suhr Aarau	2	0	2	44	61	0
10	Handball Stafa	2	0	2	54	73	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pfadi Winterthur	HSC Suhr Aarau
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	28-26 W	23-31 L
Wacker Thun	35-31 W	31-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pfadi Winterthur

DWWDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L
18/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-26	W
16/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W
12/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	29-28	W
01/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	35-31	W
25/03	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D

HSC Suhr Aarau

WLLLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	20-28	L
25/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
22/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L
19/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-30	W
15/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-30	W
12/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-33	L
01/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	23-31	L
25/03	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
14/03	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-34	L
04/03	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pfadi Winterthur vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

Our model gives 78% to Pfadi Winterthur.

How many points are expected in Pfadi Winterthur vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

The model estimates 61 total points (Pfadi Winterthur 31.6 · HSC Suhr Aarau 29.4).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to over 59.5 points (70%).