Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Pfadi Winterthur

Team pages: TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen · Pfadi Winterthur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.7Total

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen29

Pfadi Winterthur29.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Pfadi Winterthur

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Pfadi Winterthur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 0–1–5 Pfadi Winterthur (6 last)

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen26-28Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur32-24TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen27-27Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur29-28TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen22-23Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur35-28TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 1481 · Pfadi Winterthur 1534

	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Pfadi Winterthur
Our model	52%	48%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 58.7 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.7TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 29 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.7

Match keys

H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Pfadi Winterthur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 29	30.6 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.2 / 31.2	32.6 / 31
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.7

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 58.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
10:31 +20’	2.30	8.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 0–1–5 Pfadi Winterthur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	26-28	Pfadi Winterthur
16/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	32-24	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
12/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	27-27	Pfadi Winterthur
09/04/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	29-28	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
18/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	22-23	Pfadi Winterthur
05/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	35-28	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	3	3	0	104	83	6
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	3	3	0	99	81	6
3	Pfadi Winterthur	3	2	1	101	79	4
4	BSV Bern Muri	3	2	1	94	83	4
5	Amicitia Zurich	3	2	1	102	96	4
6	Wacker Thun	3	1	2	99	102	2
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	3	1	2	91	96	2
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	3	1	2	76	92	2
9	RTV 1879 Basel	3	0	3	86	103	0
10	Handball Stafa	3	0	3	75	112	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	Pfadi Winterthur
HSC Suhr Aarau	31-32 L	33-24 W
HC Kriens-Luzern	26-34 L	29-34 L
Handball Stafa	33-31 W	39-21 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pfadi Winterthur (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-32	L
30/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-34	L
26/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
18/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	26-28	L
16/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-32	L
12/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
01/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-23	W
25/03	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-31	W
11/03	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	25-24	W

Pfadi Winterthur

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-21	W
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L
18/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-26	W
16/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W
12/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	27-27	D
09/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	29-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Pfadi Winterthur?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 48% · Pfadi Winterthur 52%).

How many points are expected in TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen vs Pfadi Winterthur?

The model estimates 58.7 total points (TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen 29 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.7).