Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 16/09, 19:15

Prediction: Pfadi Winterthur vs RTV 1879 Basel

Team pages: Pfadi Winterthur · RTV 1879 Basel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

Pfadi Winterthur33.7

RTV 1879 Basel29.3

1X2

77% 23%

Pfadi Winterthur RTV 1879 Basel

Recent form · 10 last

Pfadi Winterthur 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWLD

RTV 1879 Basel 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Pfadi Winterthur 3–1–2 RTV 1879 Basel (6 last)

RTV 1879 Basel32-32Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur31-27RTV 1879 Basel
RTV 1879 Basel23-32Pfadi Winterthur
RTV 1879 Basel25-29Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur26-32RTV 1879 Basel
Pfadi Winterthur24-26RTV 1879 Basel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pfadi Winterthur 1514 · RTV 1879 Basel 1412

	Pfadi Winterthur	RTV 1879 Basel
Our model	73%	27%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63Pfadi Winterthur 33.7 · RTV 1879 Basel 29.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pfadi Winterthur (rating 1514 vs 1412).
Pfadi Winterthur is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pfadi Winterthur	RTV 1879 Basel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 29.9	30.6 / 37
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 27	29.4 / 34.2
Est. result	34	29

Est. total63

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 63.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:24 +25’	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pfadi Winterthur 3–1–2 RTV 1879 Basel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	32-32	Pfadi Winterthur
07/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	31-27	RTV 1879 Basel
04/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	23-32	Pfadi Winterthur
05/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	RTV 1879 Basel	25-29	Pfadi Winterthur
18/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	26-32	RTV 1879 Basel
13/10/24 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	24-26	RTV 1879 Basel

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	5	4	1	0	164	141	9
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	4	4	0	0	141	114	8
3	Pfadi Winterthur	5	2	1	2	155	135	5
4	BSV Bern Muri	4	2	0	2	123	114	4
5	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
6	Amicitia Zurich	4	2	0	2	132	134	4
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	118	121	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	4	1	0	3	109	125	2
10	Handball Stafa	4	0	0	4	108	154	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pfadi Winterthur	RTV 1879 Basel
Kadetten Schaffhausen	29-29 D	29-45 L
HSC Suhr Aarau	33-24 W	23-22 W
HC Kriens-Luzern	29-34 L	38-46 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pfadi Winterthur (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pfadi Winterthur

WWLLLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
02/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-21	W
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L
18/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-26	W
16/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W

RTV 1879 Basel

DLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	23-22	W
02/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	28-30	L
29/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
26/08	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
15/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	38-46	L
11/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-41	L
08/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
01/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-45	L
28/03	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	34-39	L
25/03	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pfadi Winterthur vs RTV 1879 Basel?

Our model gives 77% to Pfadi Winterthur.

How many points are expected in Pfadi Winterthur vs RTV 1879 Basel?

The model estimates 63 total points (Pfadi Winterthur 33.7 · RTV 1879 Basel 29.3).