Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 16/09, 19:15

Prediction: BSV Bern Muri vs Amicitia Zurich

Team pages: BSV Bern Muri · Amicitia Zurich

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.4Total

BSV Bern Muri31.6

Amicitia Zurich28.7

1X2

73% 27%

BSV Bern Muri Amicitia Zurich

Recent form · 10 last

BSV Bern Muri 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLWWL

Amicitia Zurich 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

BSV Bern Muri 4–1–1 Amicitia Zurich (6 last)

Amicitia Zurich27-27BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri28-25Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich24-28BSV Bern Muri
Amicitia Zurich33-30BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri33-26Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich31-35BSV Bern Muri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSV Bern Muri 1537 · Amicitia Zurich 1469

	BSV Bern Muri	Amicitia Zurich
Our model	69%	31%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 60.4 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.4BSV Bern Muri 31.6 · Amicitia Zurich 28.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BSV Bern Muri (rating 1537 vs 1469).
BSV Bern Muri is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours BSV Bern Muri: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BSV Bern Muri	Amicitia Zurich
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 30	30 / 31.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 29	31.8 / 33
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.4

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +33’	1.32	9.50	4.00
12:48 +3’	1.12▼	12.00▲	7.00▲
13:48 +2’	1.32▲	9.50▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BSV Bern Muri 4–1–1 Amicitia Zurich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	27-27	BSV Bern Muri
05/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	28-25	Amicitia Zurich
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	24-28	BSV Bern Muri
08/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	33-30	BSV Bern Muri
12/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	33-26	Amicitia Zurich
15/09/24 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	31-35	BSV Bern Muri

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kadetten Schaffhausen	5	4	1	0	164	141	9
2	HC Kriens-Luzern	4	4	0	0	141	114	8
3	Pfadi Winterthur	5	2	1	2	155	135	5
4	BSV Bern Muri	4	2	0	2	123	114	4
5	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
6	Amicitia Zurich	4	2	0	2	132	134	4
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	118	121	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	4	1	0	3	109	125	2
10	Handball Stafa	4	0	0	4	108	154	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BSV Bern Muri	Amicitia Zurich
Kadetten Schaffhausen	29-31 L	28-34 L
RTV 1879 Basel	30-28 W	35-29 W
Handball Stafa	34-21 W	39-33 W
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	30-34 L	24-25 L
Wacker Thun	34-29 W	30-38 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BSV Bern Muri (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSV Bern Muri

WDWLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W
26/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
02/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
29/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
25/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L
16/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
12/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	32-32	D
09/04	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-27	W

Amicitia Zurich

LWWLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-38	L
02/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-34	L
29/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W
26/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
15/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
11/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	25-36	L
08/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-32	L
01/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-32	W
25/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-27	W
11/03	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	24-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSV Bern Muri vs Amicitia Zurich?

Our model gives 73% to BSV Bern Muri.

How many points are expected in BSV Bern Muri vs Amicitia Zurich?

The model estimates 60.4 total points (BSV Bern Muri 31.6 · Amicitia Zurich 28.7).