Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 02/09, 20:00

Prediction: Rhein Neckar Lowen vs Vfl Gummersbach

Team pages: Rhein Neckar Lowen · Vfl Gummersbach

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

Rhein Neckar Lowen30

Vfl Gummersbach30.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Rhein Neckar Lowen Vfl Gummersbach

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Rhein Neckar Lowen 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLWLL

Vfl Gummersbach 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Rhein Neckar Lowen 2–4 Vfl Gummersbach (6 last)

Vfl Gummersbach28-27Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen34-32Vfl Gummersbach
Rhein Neckar Lowen32-34Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach36-25Rhein Neckar Lowen
Vfl Gummersbach31-26Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen28-26Vfl Gummersbach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rhein Neckar Lowen 1527 · Vfl Gummersbach 1531

	Rhein Neckar Lowen	Vfl Gummersbach
Our model	59%	41%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2Rhein Neckar Lowen 30 · Vfl Gummersbach 30.2

Match keys

H2H favours Vfl Gummersbach: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rhein Neckar Lowen	Vfl Gummersbach
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 29.3	31.5 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 29.4	30.4 / 28.4
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:45 +2’	1.95	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhein Neckar Lowen 2–0–4 Vfl Gummersbach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	28-27	Rhein Neckar Lowen
11/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	34-32	Vfl Gummersbach
21/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	32-34	Vfl Gummersbach
22/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	36-25	Rhein Neckar Lowen
19/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	31-26	Rhein Neckar Lowen
22/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	28-26	Vfl Gummersbach

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	1	1	0	30	26	2
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	1	1	0	32	30	2
3	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SC Magdeburg	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	1	1	0	35	33	2
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	1	1	0	33	31	2
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	1	1	0	32	31	2
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	1	1	0	30	29	2
10	Bergischer HC	1	0	1	29	30	0
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	1	0	1	31	32	0
12	HC Erlangen	1	0	1	30	32	0
12	HSG Wetzlar	1	0	1	33	35	0
12	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	ThSV Eisenach	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	Vfl Gummersbach	1	0	1	31	33	0
17	HSV Hamburg	1	0	1	26	30	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rhein Neckar Lowen	Vfl Gummersbach
SC Magdeburg	30-33 L	31-33 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen	30-32 L	29-29 D
HC Erlangen	27-29 L	26-22 W
HSG Wetzlar	41-27 W	32-24 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vfl Gummersbach (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rhein Neckar Lowen

WLLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
07/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	27-28	L
03/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
24/05	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-33	L
07/05	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-26	W
01/05	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	30-22	W
23/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	30-32	L
11/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
05/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	27-29	L
28/03	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	41-27	W

Vfl Gummersbach

WWWLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
03/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	35-38	L
23/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-22	W
10/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	26-22	W
30/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
23/04	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	26-28	L
16/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	37-31	W
11/04	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	32-24	W
02/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	39-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rhein Neckar Lowen vs Vfl Gummersbach?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Rhein Neckar Lowen 56% · Vfl Gummersbach 44%).

How many points are expected in Rhein Neckar Lowen vs Vfl Gummersbach?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (Rhein Neckar Lowen 30 · Vfl Gummersbach 30.2).