Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 02/09, 19:00

Prediction: MT Melsungen vs Frisch Auf Goppingen

Team pages: MT Melsungen · Frisch Auf Goppingen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

MT Melsungen29.3

Frisch Auf Goppingen29.1

1X2

78% 22%

MT Melsungen Frisch Auf Goppingen

Recent form · 10 last

MT Melsungen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWLDL

Frisch Auf Goppingen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWLLW

Head-to-head

MT Melsungen 5–1–0 Frisch Auf Goppingen (6 last)

MT Melsungen31-23Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen26-26MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen30-23Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen25-29MT Melsungen
Frisch Auf Goppingen22-32MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen29-19Frisch Auf Goppingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MT Melsungen 1571 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 1537

	MT Melsungen	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Our model	65%	35%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4MT Melsungen 29.3 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.1

Match keys

MT Melsungen is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours MT Melsungen: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MT Melsungen	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 31.8	30.2 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 33	31.4 / 30
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.4

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X12.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.80

2 (+4.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.88

Under 56.51.88

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 60.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +11’	1.18	12.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MT Melsungen 5–1–0 Frisch Auf Goppingen

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	31-23	Frisch Auf Goppingen
29/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	26-26	MT Melsungen
08/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	30-23	Frisch Auf Goppingen
27/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	25-29	MT Melsungen
29/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	22-32	MT Melsungen
27/08/23 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	29-19	Frisch Auf Goppingen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	1	1	0	30	26	2
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	1	1	0	32	30	2
3	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SC Magdeburg	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	1	1	0	35	33	2
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	1	1	0	33	31	2
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	1	1	0	32	31	2
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	1	1	0	30	29	2
10	Bergischer HC	1	0	1	29	30	0
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	1	0	1	31	32	0
12	HC Erlangen	1	0	1	30	32	0
12	HSG Wetzlar	1	0	1	33	35	0
12	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	ThSV Eisenach	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	Vfl Gummersbach	1	0	1	31	33	0
17	HSV Hamburg	1	0	1	26	30	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MT Melsungen	Frisch Auf Goppingen
SC DHFK Leipzig	33-27 W	34-29 W
Rhein Neckar Lowen	22-30 L	32-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MT Melsungen

WWWLLWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/08	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
04/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-39	L
21/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W
09/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
01/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	22-30	L
24/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-40	L
10/04	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-28	W
04/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-26	W
27/03	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W

Frisch Auf Goppingen

WLWWDWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
07/06	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
03/06	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
25/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-28	W
07/05	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
30/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
23/04	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
09/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W
05/04	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	23-27	L
29/03	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	27-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MT Melsungen vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

Our model gives 78% to MT Melsungen.

How many points are expected in MT Melsungen vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (MT Melsungen 29.3 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.1).