Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 29/10, 19:00
Prediction: Frisch Auf Goppingen vs Vfl Gummersbach
Team pages: Frisch Auf Goppingen · Vfl Gummersbach
Prediction summary
Estimated points
59.8Total
Frisch Auf Goppingen29.3
Vfl Gummersbach30.5
1X2
Frisch Auf Goppingen
Vfl Gummersbach
Markets
Over 58.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Frisch Auf Goppingen
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Vfl Gummersbach
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frisch Auf Goppingen
0–2–4
Vfl Gummersbach
(6 last)
- Vfl Gummersbach29-29Frisch Auf Goppingen
- Frisch Auf Goppingen24-36Vfl Gummersbach
- Vfl Gummersbach41-25Frisch Auf Goppingen
- Frisch Auf Goppingen24-24Vfl Gummersbach
- Vfl Gummersbach33-32Frisch Auf Goppingen
- Vfl Gummersbach33-28Frisch Auf Goppingen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frisch Auf Goppingen 1491 · Vfl Gummersbach 1546
| Frisch Auf Goppingen | Vfl Gummersbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
59.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points59.8Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.3 · Vfl Gummersbach 30.5
Over / Under 58.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~60.2 pts · strength 2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vfl Gummersbach (rating 1491 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Vfl Gummersbach: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Frisch Auf Goppingen | Vfl Gummersbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.2 / 30.3 | 30.8 / 30 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 28 / 30.2 | 31.8 / 30 |
| Est. result | 29 | 31 |
Est. total59.8
Line O/U58.5
Diff.1.3
Over / Under70% / 30%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frisch Auf Goppingen 0–2–4 Vfl Gummersbach
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Vfl Gummersbach | 29-29 | Frisch Auf Goppingen |
| 12/10/25 Germany Bundesliga | Frisch Auf Goppingen | 24-36 | Vfl Gummersbach |
| 28/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | Vfl Gummersbach | 41-25 | Frisch Auf Goppingen |
| 12/10/24 Germany Bundesliga | Frisch Auf Goppingen | 24-24 | Vfl Gummersbach |
| 02/06/24 Germany Bundesliga | Vfl Gummersbach | 33-32 | Frisch Auf Goppingen |
| 13/12/23 Germany DHB Pokal | Vfl Gummersbach | 33-28 | Frisch Auf Goppingen |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | THW Kiel | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 345 | 314 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Magdeburg | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 332 | 289 | 18 |
| 3 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 347 | 311 | 17 |
| 4 | TBV Lemgo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 310 | 308 | 14 |
| 5 | MT Melsungen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 310 | 280 | 13 |
| 6 | Fuchse Berlin | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 306 | 286 | 12 |
| 7 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 311 | 299 | 11 |
| 8 | HC Erlangen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 307 | 306 | 11 |
| 9 | Vfl Gummersbach | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 280 | 273 | 10 |
| 10 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 292 | 298 | 10 |
| 11 | Frisch Auf Goppingen | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 282 | 303 | 8 |
| 12 | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 289 | 304 | 7 |
| 13 | ThSV Eisenach | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 281 | 305 | 6 |
| 14 | HBW Balingen-Weilstetten | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 234 | 227 | 5 |
| 15 | HSV Hamburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 299 | 311 | 5 |
| 16 | Bergischer HC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 249 | 281 | 4 |
| 17 | SG BBM Bietigheim | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 289 | 331 | 4 |
| 18 | HSG Wetzlar | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 302 | 339 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Frisch Auf Goppingen | Vfl Gummersbach |
|---|---|---|
| ThSV Eisenach | 34-26 W | 28-28 D |
| SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 27-32 L | 31-30 W |
| Rhein Neckar Lowen | 29-28 W | 31-26 W |
| THW Kiel | 31-32 L | 26-29 L |
| MT Melsungen | 18-31 L | 31-31 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vfl Gummersbach (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frisch Auf Goppingen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga |
34-26 | W |
| 18/10 | TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga |
26-28 | L |
| 10/10 | SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga |
25-29 | L |
| 03/10 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
27-32 | L |
| 27/09 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga |
28-36 | L |
| 17/09 | Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga |
29-28 | W |
| 13/09 | HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga |
32-31 | W |
| 06/09 | THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga |
31-32 | L |
| 02/09 | MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga |
18-31 | L |
| 29/08 | HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga |
32-30 | W |
Vfl Gummersbach
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
31-30 | W |
| 16/10 | ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga |
28-28 | D |
| 03/10 | THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga |
26-29 | L |
| 27/09 | Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga |
38-30 | W |
| 20/09 | HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga |
36-33 | W |
| 13/09 | Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
28-33 | L |
| 05/09 | MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga |
31-31 | D |
| 02/09 | Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga |
31-26 | W |
| 30/08 | SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga |
31-33 | L |
| 07/06 | Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga |
28-27 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frisch Auf Goppingen vs Vfl Gummersbach?
Our model gives 62% to Vfl Gummersbach.
How many points are expected in Frisch Auf Goppingen vs Vfl Gummersbach?
The model estimates 59.8 total points (Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.3 · Vfl Gummersbach 30.5).
Over or under 58.5 points?
Recent history points to over 58.5 points (70%).