Handball · France Proligue · 05/09, 20:30

Prediction: Sarrebourg vs Cournon d'Auvergne

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

Sarrebourg30.2

Cournon d'Auvergne30.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Sarrebourg Cournon d'Auvergne

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sarrebourg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

Cournon d'Auvergne 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Sarrebourg 4–1–1 Cournon d'Auvergne (6 last)

Sarrebourg29-30Cournon d'Auvergne
Cournon d'Auvergne29-29Sarrebourg
Cournon d'Auvergne27-28Sarrebourg
Sarrebourg30-25Cournon d'Auvergne
Sarrebourg30-29Cournon d'Auvergne
Cournon d'Auvergne31-36Sarrebourg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarrebourg 1472 · Cournon d'Auvergne 1455

	Sarrebourg	Cournon d'Auvergne
Our model	62%	38%
Market	37%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3Sarrebourg 30.2 · Cournon d'Auvergne 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours Sarrebourg: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sarrebourg	Cournon d'Auvergne
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.4 / 29.3	32 / 32.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 29	32.8 / 34
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.45

X8.50

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 60.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.10 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +2’	1.95	8.50	2.10
22:05 +45’	2.10▲	8.50	1.95▼
01:52	2.45▲	8.50	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarrebourg 4–1–1 Cournon d'Auvergne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	29-30	Cournon d'Auvergne
10/10/25 France Proligue	Cournon d'Auvergne	29-29	Sarrebourg
25/04/25 France Proligue	Cournon d'Auvergne	27-28	Sarrebourg
07/09/24 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	30-25	Cournon d'Auvergne
17/02/24 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	30-29	Cournon d'Auvergne
20/12/23 France Proligue	Cournon d'Auvergne	31-36	Sarrebourg

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cournon d'Auvergne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Draguignan VHB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Val D'Oise	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frontignan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Grand Besançon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Istres Provence	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Cherbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Massy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Billere	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pontault-Combault	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Saintes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sarrebourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Creteil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ivry	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valence	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sarrebourg	Cournon d'Auvergne
Grand Besançon	34-31 W	35-30 W
Angers	26-30 L	34-30 W
JS Cherbourg	22-25 L	34-35 L
US Saintes	29-27 W	36-37 L
Frontignan	25-27 L	27-28 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cournon d'Auvergne (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarrebourg

LLWLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/05	Grand Besançon France Proligue	34-31	W
24/04	USM Saran France Proligue	29-30	L
18/04	Creteil France Proligue	24-23	W
14/04	Angers France Proligue	26-30	L
10/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	26-31	L
03/04	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	22-25	L
28/03	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	29-30	L
13/03	US Saintes France Proligue	29-27	W
07/03	Frontignan France Proligue	25-27	L
03/03	Massy France Proligue	30-39	L

Cournon d'Auvergne

WLWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/05	Ivry France Proligue	31-38	L
21/05	Ivry France Proligue	28-30	L
07/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	36-37	L
01/05	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	34-35	L
24/04	Grand Besançon France Proligue	35-30	W
17/04	Ivry France Proligue	29-34	L
14/04	Frontignan France Proligue	27-28	L
09/04	Angers France Proligue	34-30	W
31/03	US Saintes France Proligue	36-37	L
28/03	Sarrebourg France Proligue	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarrebourg vs Cournon d'Auvergne?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sarrebourg 50% · Cournon d'Auvergne 50%).

How many points are expected in Sarrebourg vs Cournon d'Auvergne?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (Sarrebourg 30.2 · Cournon d'Auvergne 30.1).