Handball · France Proligue · 05/09, 20:00
Prediction: Valence vs JS Cherbourg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
61.4Total
Valence31.5
JS Cherbourg30
1X2
Valence
JS Cherbourg
Markets
Over 59.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Valence
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
JS Cherbourg
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valence
2–4
JS Cherbourg
(6 last)
- Valence31-29JS Cherbourg
- JS Cherbourg25-26Valence
- Valence27-29JS Cherbourg
- JS Cherbourg30-20Valence
- JS Cherbourg31-30Valence
- Valence28-30JS Cherbourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valence 1488 · JS Cherbourg 1459
| Valence | JS Cherbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 56% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
61.4 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points61.4Valence 31.5 · JS Cherbourg 30
Over / Under 59.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~64.7 pts · strength 5
Match keys
- H2H favours JS Cherbourg: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valence | JS Cherbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.8 / 32.7 | 30.3 / 31.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 31.2 / 35.6 | 32.2 / 35 |
| Est. result | 32 | 30 |
Est. total61.4
Line O/U59.5
Diff.1.9
Over / Under70% / 30%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valence 2–0–4 JS Cherbourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 France Proligue | Valence | 31-29 | JS Cherbourg |
| 14/11/25 France Proligue | JS Cherbourg | 25-26 | Valence |
| 18/04/25 France Proligue | Valence | 27-29 | JS Cherbourg |
| 29/11/24 France Proligue | JS Cherbourg | 30-20 | Valence |
| 26/04/24 France Proligue | JS Cherbourg | 31-30 | Valence |
| 08/12/23 France Proligue | Valence | 28-30 | JS Cherbourg |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Draguignan VHB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Val D'Oise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frontignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grand Besançon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Istres Provence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Cherbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Massy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Billere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pontault-Combault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Saintes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sarrebourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Creteil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ivry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valence | JS Cherbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Pontault-Combault | 33-36 L | 32-35 L |
| Grand Besançon | 28-31 L | 31-29 W |
| USM Saran | 27-35 L | 33-34 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: JS Cherbourg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valence
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-36 | L |
| 20/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 07/05 | Frontignan France Proligue |
34-39 | L |
| 01/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
35-41 | L |
| 24/04 | US Saintes France Proligue |
24-30 | L |
| 17/04 | Angers France Proligue |
28-26 | W |
| 14/04 | Creteil France Proligue |
36-27 | W |
| 10/04 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
28-31 | L |
| 03/04 | USM Saran France Proligue |
27-35 | L |
| 27/03 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-30 | W |
JS Cherbourg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Billere France Proligue |
29-37 | L |
| 21/05 | Billere France Proligue |
35-30 | W |
| 07/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
32-35 | L |
| 01/05 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
35-34 | W |
| 24/04 | Ivry France Proligue |
30-39 | L |
| 17/04 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
31-29 | W |
| 14/04 | Billere France Proligue |
23-32 | L |
| 10/04 | Massy France Proligue |
30-20 | W |
| 07/04 | USM Saran France Proligue |
33-34 | L |
| 03/04 | Sarrebourg France Proligue |
25-22 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valence vs JS Cherbourg?
Our model gives 63% to Valence.
How many points are expected in Valence vs JS Cherbourg?
The model estimates 61.4 total points (Valence 31.5 · JS Cherbourg 30).
Over or under 59.5 points?
Recent history points to over 59.5 points (70%).