Handball · France Proligue · 11/09, 20:30

Prediction: Creteil vs Massy

Team pages: Creteil · Massy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.2Total

Creteil32.2

Massy30.1

1X2

75% 25%

Creteil Massy

Recent form · 10 last

Creteil 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWWLLW

Massy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Creteil 4–2 Massy (6 last)

Massy34-32Creteil
Creteil33-23Massy
Massy25-35Creteil
Massy33-28Creteil
Creteil30-19Massy
Massy22-24Creteil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Creteil 1508 · Massy 1450

	Creteil	Massy
Our model	68%	32%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 62.2 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.2Creteil 32.2 · Massy 30.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Creteil (rating 1508 vs 1450).
Creteil is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Creteil: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Creteil	Massy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 30.5	30.6 / 32.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 29.6	30.8 / 33.4
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.2

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X11.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 61.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +62’	1.25	11.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Creteil 4–0–2 Massy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/26 Club Friendlies	Massy	34-32	Creteil
07/05/26 France Proligue	Creteil	33-23	Massy
17/10/25 France Proligue	Massy	25-35	Creteil
21/08/24 Club Friendlies	Massy	33-28	Creteil
03/05/19 France Proligue	Creteil	30-19	Massy
20/12/18 France Proligue	Massy	22-24	Creteil

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ivry	1	1	0	38	29	2
2	Cournon d'Auvergne	1	1	0	33	28	2
3	Creteil	1	1	0	32	28	2
4	Draguignan VHB	1	1	0	28	26	2
5	JS Cherbourg	1	1	0	36	35	2
6	Pontault-Combault	1	1	0	31	30	2
7	US Saintes	1	1	0	27	26	2
8	Billere	1	1	0	25	24	2
9	Valence	1	0	1	35	36	0
10	Dijon	1	0	1	30	31	0
11	Massy	1	0	1	26	27	0
12	Istres Provence	1	0	1	24	25	0
13	Val D'Oise	1	0	1	26	28	0
14	Grand Besançon	1	0	1	28	32	0
15	Sarrebourg	1	0	1	28	33	0
16	Frontignan	1	0	1	29	38	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Creteil	Massy
Caen Handball	25-37 L	31-36 L
Angers	34-29 W	36-29 W
Frontignan	36-36 D	35-32 W
Ivry	31-31 D	30-31 L
JS Cherbourg	29-30 L	20-30 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Massy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Creteil

LDDLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Grand Besançon France Proligue	32-28	W
24/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	25-37	L
21/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	30-31	L
07/05	Massy France Proligue	33-23	W
30/04	Angers France Proligue	34-29	W
18/04	Sarrebourg France Proligue	23-24	L
14/04	Valence France Proligue	27-36	L
10/04	Frontignan France Proligue	36-36	D
03/04	Ivry France Proligue	31-31	D
29/03	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	29-30	L

Massy

WLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	US Saintes France Proligue	26-27	L
07/05	Creteil France Proligue	23-33	L
03/05	USM Saran France Proligue	31-36	L
24/04	Billere France Proligue	38-40	L
17/04	US Saintes France Proligue	36-31	W
10/04	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	20-30	L
03/04	Frontignan France Proligue	35-32	W
27/03	Ivry France Proligue	30-31	L
13/03	Caen Handball France Proligue	31-36	L
06/03	Angers France Proligue	36-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Creteil vs Massy?

Our model gives 75% to Creteil.

How many points are expected in Creteil vs Massy?

The model estimates 62.2 total points (Creteil 32.2 · Massy 30.1).