Handball · France Proligue · 11/09, 20:30

Prediction: Ivry vs Sarrebourg

Team pages: Ivry · Sarrebourg

Prediction summary
Estimated points
58.4Total
Ivry30.9
Sarrebourg27.5
1X2
83% 17%
Ivry Sarrebourg
Markets
Under 61.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Ivry 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWWLW
Sarrebourg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWLWL
Head-to-head
Ivry 3–1–0 Sarrebourg (4 last)
  • Ivry37-30Sarrebourg
  • Sarrebourg33-33Ivry
  • Sarrebourg31-41Ivry
  • Ivry29-24Sarrebourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivry 1560 · Sarrebourg 1461
IvrySarrebourg
Our model73%27%
Market84%10%
Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points58.4Ivry 30.9 · Sarrebourg 27.5
Over / Under 61.5Under · 80%recent trend · ~58 pts · strength 3

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivry (rating 1560 vs 1461).
  • Ivry is a clear favourite (83% market).
  • H2H favours Ivry: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

IvrySarrebourg
Points F|A (Last 10)32.9 / 28.927.2 / 28.7
Points F|A (Last 5)30 / 27.828.2 / 29.4
Est. result3128
Est. total58.4
Line O/U61.5
Diff.3.1
Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivry 310 Sarrebourg

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
France Proligue
Ivry37-30Sarrebourg
06/09/25
France Proligue
Sarrebourg33-33Ivry
14/05/22
France Proligue
Sarrebourg31-41Ivry
26/11/21
France Proligue
Ivry29-24Sarrebourg

Standings · France Proligue

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Ivry 110 38292
2 Cournon d'Auvergne 110 33282
3 Creteil 110 32282
4 Draguignan VHB 110 28262
5 JS Cherbourg 110 36352
6 Pontault-Combault 110 31302
7 US Saintes 110 27262
8 Billere 110 25242
9 Valence 101 35360
10 Dijon 101 30310
11 Massy 101 26270
12 Istres Provence 101 24250
13 Val D'Oise 101 26280
14 Grand Besançon 101 28320
15 Sarrebourg 101 28330
16 Frontignan 101 29380

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIvrySarrebourg
Frontignan 38-29 W 25-27 L
Cournon d'Auvergne 38-31 W 28-33 L
US Saintes 37-33 W 29-27 W
JS Cherbourg 39-30 W 22-25 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ivry (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivry

WWWWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
04/09 Frontignan
France Proligue
38-29 W
07/06 Caen Handball
France Proligue
22-24 L
04/06 Caen Handball
France Proligue
31-29 W
31/05 Billere
France Proligue
31-28 W
28/05 Billere
France Proligue
28-29 L
24/05 Cournon d'Auvergne
France Proligue
38-31 W
21/05 Cournon d'Auvergne
France Proligue
30-28 W
07/05 Billere
France Proligue
35-28 W
03/05 US Saintes
France Proligue
37-33 W
24/04 JS Cherbourg
France Proligue
39-30 W

Sarrebourg

LWLLLLWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/09 Cournon d'Auvergne
France Proligue
28-33 L
07/05 Grand Besançon
France Proligue
34-31 W
24/04 USM Saran
France Proligue
29-30 L
18/04 Creteil
France Proligue
24-23 W
14/04 Angers
France Proligue
26-30 L
10/04 Pontault-Combault
France Proligue
26-31 L
03/04 JS Cherbourg
France Proligue
22-25 L
28/03 Cournon d'Auvergne
France Proligue
29-30 L
13/03 US Saintes
France Proligue
29-27 W
07/03 Frontignan
France Proligue
25-27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivry vs Sarrebourg?

Our model gives 83% to Ivry.

How many points are expected in Ivry vs Sarrebourg?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Ivry 30.9 · Sarrebourg 27.5).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (80%).