Handball · France Proligue · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: US Saintes vs Sarrebourg

Team pages: US Saintes · Sarrebourg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

US Saintes29.6

Sarrebourg29.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

US Saintes Sarrebourg

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

US Saintes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLWL

Sarrebourg 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

US Saintes 0–2 Sarrebourg (2 last)

US Saintes27-29Sarrebourg
Sarrebourg26-25US Saintes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Saintes 1430 · Sarrebourg 1481

	US Saintes	Sarrebourg
Our model	53%	47%
Market	52%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8US Saintes 29.6 · Sarrebourg 29.2

Match keys

H2H favours Sarrebourg: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	US Saintes	Sarrebourg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 32	28.2 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 29.4	28.6 / 30.2
Est. result	30	29

Est. total58.8

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.75

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 59.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:06 +37’	1.75	8.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Saintes 0–0–2 Sarrebourg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 France Proligue	US Saintes	27-29	Sarrebourg
22/11/25 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	26-25	US Saintes

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Billere	5	5	0	0	155	136	10
2	JS Cherbourg	5	5	0	0	167	153	10
3	Ivry	5	4	0	1	170	146	8
4	Creteil	5	4	0	1	157	147	8
5	Cournon d'Auvergne	5	4	0	1	165	145	8
6	Dijon	5	3	0	2	160	146	6
7	Draguignan VHB	5	2	0	3	138	159	4
8	US Saintes	5	2	0	3	142	147	4
9	Pontault-Combault	4	1	1	2	126	132	4
10	Sarrebourg	5	2	0	3	143	151	4
11	Grand Besançon	5	2	0	3	158	159	4
12	Val D'Oise	5	1	1	3	148	157	3
13	Valence	5	1	0	4	160	172	2
14	Massy	5	1	0	4	142	158	2
15	Istres Provence	4	1	0	3	114	111	2
16	Frontignan	5	0	0	5	142	168	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	US Saintes	Sarrebourg
Grand Besançon	38-31 W	34-31 W
Cournon d'Auvergne	26-32 L	28-33 L
Massy	27-26 W	30-26 W
Ivry	33-37 L	26-33 L
Pontault-Combault	28-35 L	26-31 L
USM Saran	37-41 L	29-30 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sarrebourg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Saintes

LLLWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Draguignan VHB France Proligue	23-27	L
25/09	Grand Besançon France Proligue	38-31	W
18/09	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	26-32	L
11/09	Billere France Proligue	28-31	L
04/09	Massy France Proligue	27-26	W
03/05	Ivry France Proligue	33-37	L
24/04	Valence France Proligue	30-24	W
17/04	Massy France Proligue	31-36	L
14/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	28-35	L
10/04	USM Saran France Proligue	37-41	L

Sarrebourg

LLWLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Massy France Proligue	30-26	W
25/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-29	L
19/09	Val D'Oise France Proligue	31-30	W
11/09	Ivry France Proligue	26-33	L
05/09	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	28-33	L
07/05	Grand Besançon France Proligue	34-31	W
24/04	USM Saran France Proligue	29-30	L
18/04	Creteil France Proligue	24-23	W
14/04	Angers France Proligue	26-30	L
10/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	26-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Saintes vs Sarrebourg?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (US Saintes 56% · Sarrebourg 44%).

How many points are expected in US Saintes vs Sarrebourg?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (US Saintes 29.6 · Sarrebourg 29.2).