Handball · France Proligue · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: Cournon d'Auvergne vs Valence

Team pages: Cournon d'Auvergne · Valence

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.1Total

Cournon d'Auvergne34.6

Valence31.5

1X2

65% 35%

Cournon d'Auvergne Valence

Recent form · 10 last

Cournon d'Auvergne 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWWL

Valence 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Cournon d'Auvergne 4–1–1 Valence (6 last)

Cournon d'Auvergne37-32Valence
Valence37-31Cournon d'Auvergne
Cournon d'Auvergne38-28Valence
Valence29-29Cournon d'Auvergne
Cournon d'Auvergne37-31Valence
Valence29-31Cournon d'Auvergne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cournon d'Auvergne 1510 · Valence 1439

	Cournon d'Auvergne	Valence
Our model	69%	31%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 66.1 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.1Cournon d'Auvergne 34.6 · Valence 31.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cournon d'Auvergne (rating 1510 vs 1439).
Cournon d'Auvergne is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Cournon d'Auvergne: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cournon d'Auvergne	Valence
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.9 / 31.5	31.6 / 35
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 29	32 / 34.4
Est. result	35	32

Est. total66.1

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 65.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:22 +23’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cournon d'Auvergne 4–1–1 Valence

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 France Proligue	Cournon d'Auvergne	37-32	Valence
03/10/25 France Proligue	Valence	37-31	Cournon d'Auvergne
21/08/25 Club Friendlies	Cournon d'Auvergne	38-28	Valence
02/05/25 France Proligue	Valence	29-29	Cournon d'Auvergne
25/10/24 France Proligue	Cournon d'Auvergne	37-31	Valence
29/03/24 France Proligue	Valence	29-31	Cournon d'Auvergne

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Billere	5	5	0	0	155	136	10
2	JS Cherbourg	5	5	0	0	167	153	10
3	Ivry	5	4	0	1	170	146	8
4	Creteil	5	4	0	1	157	147	8
5	Cournon d'Auvergne	5	4	0	1	165	145	8
6	Dijon	5	3	0	2	160	146	6
7	Draguignan VHB	5	2	0	3	138	159	4
8	US Saintes	5	2	0	3	142	147	4
9	Pontault-Combault	4	1	1	2	126	132	4
10	Sarrebourg	5	2	0	3	143	151	4
11	Grand Besançon	5	2	0	3	158	159	4
12	Val D'Oise	5	1	1	3	148	157	3
13	Valence	5	1	0	4	160	172	2
14	Massy	5	1	0	4	142	158	2
15	Istres Provence	4	1	0	3	114	111	2
16	Frontignan	5	0	0	5	142	168	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cournon d'Auvergne	Valence
Ivry	27-32 L	32-41 L
US Saintes	32-26 W	24-30 L
Pontault-Combault	34-29 W	33-36 L
Caen Handball	36-37 L	35-41 L
JS Cherbourg	34-35 L	35-36 L
Grand Besançon	35-30 W	30-34 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Cournon d'Auvergne (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cournon d'Auvergne

WLLLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Ivry France Proligue	27-32	L
25/09	Draguignan VHB France Proligue	39-30	W
18/09	US Saintes France Proligue	32-26	W
11/09	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	34-29	W
05/09	Sarrebourg France Proligue	33-28	W
24/05	Ivry France Proligue	31-38	L
21/05	Ivry France Proligue	28-30	L
07/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	36-37	L
01/05	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	34-35	L
24/04	Grand Besançon France Proligue	35-30	W

Valence

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Grand Besançon France Proligue	30-34	L
25/09	Val D'Oise France Proligue	30-32	L
17/09	Ivry France Proligue	32-41	L
11/09	Istres Provence France Proligue	33-29	W
05/09	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	35-36	L
24/05	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	33-36	L
20/05	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	30-32	L
07/05	Frontignan France Proligue	34-39	L
01/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	35-41	L
24/04	US Saintes France Proligue	24-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cournon d'Auvergne vs Valence?

Our model gives 65% to Cournon d'Auvergne.

How many points are expected in Cournon d'Auvergne vs Valence?

The model estimates 66.1 total points (Cournon d'Auvergne 34.6 · Valence 31.5).