Handball · France Proligue · 16/10, 20:30

Prediction: Frontignan vs Massy

Team pages: Frontignan · Massy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.8Total

Frontignan32.6

Massy33.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

58% 42%

Frontignan Massy

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Frontignan 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLLL

Massy 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Frontignan 3–3 Massy (6 last)

Frontignan32-35Massy
Massy26-27Frontignan
Massy33-39Frontignan
Frontignan27-26Massy
Frontignan31-32Massy
Massy36-32Frontignan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frontignan 1393 · Massy 1453

	Frontignan	Massy
Our model	51%	49%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 65.8 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.8Frontignan 32.6 · Massy 33.2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Frontignan	Massy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 35.3	30 / 33.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.2 / 32.8	29.2 / 33.6
Est. result	33	33

Est. total65.8

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 64.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +2’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frontignan 3–0–3 Massy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 France Proligue	Frontignan	32-35	Massy
26/09/25 France Proligue	Massy	26-27	Frontignan
25/04/25 France Proligue	Massy	33-39	Frontignan
15/11/24 France Proligue	Frontignan	27-26	Massy
09/02/24 France Proligue	Frontignan	31-32	Massy
13/10/23 France Proligue	Massy	36-32	Frontignan

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Billere	6	6	0	0	188	158	12
2	JS Cherbourg	6	6	0	0	200	183	12
3	Ivry	6	5	0	1	200	171	10
4	Cournon d'Auvergne	6	4	1	1	198	178	9
5	Dijon	6	4	0	2	192	165	8
6	Pontault-Combault	6	3	1	2	192	185	8
7	Creteil	6	4	0	2	187	180	8
8	Sarrebourg	6	3	0	3	173	180	6
9	Val D'Oise	6	2	1	3	182	185	5
10	Draguignan VHB	6	2	0	4	160	192	4
11	US Saintes	6	2	0	4	171	177	4
12	Grand Besançon	6	2	0	4	177	191	4
13	Valence	6	1	1	4	193	205	4
14	Istres Provence	6	1	0	5	162	170	2
15	Massy	6	1	0	5	172	195	2
16	Frontignan	6	0	0	6	170	202	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frontignan	Massy
Billere	24-27 L	26-36 L
Creteil	28-33 L	33-35 L
Dijon	30-38 L	31-30 W
Pontault-Combault	34-41 L	30-37 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Massy (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frontignan

LLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Val D'Oise France Proligue	28-34	L
02/10	Billere France Proligue	24-27	L
25/09	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	31-32	L
18/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-33	L
11/09	Dijon France Proligue	30-38	L
04/09	Ivry France Proligue	29-38	L
07/05	Valence France Proligue	39-34	W
01/05	Grand Besançon France Proligue	32-39	L
24/04	Caen Handball France Proligue	35-37	L
18/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	34-41	L

Massy

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	30-37	L
03/10	Sarrebourg France Proligue	26-30	L
25/09	Billere France Proligue	26-36	L
18/09	Dijon France Proligue	31-30	W
11/09	Creteil France Proligue	33-35	L
04/09	US Saintes France Proligue	26-27	L
07/05	Creteil France Proligue	23-33	L
03/05	USM Saran France Proligue	31-36	L
24/04	Billere France Proligue	38-40	L
17/04	US Saintes France Proligue	36-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frontignan vs Massy?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Frontignan 58% · Massy 42%).

How many points are expected in Frontignan vs Massy?

The model estimates 65.8 total points (Frontignan 32.6 · Massy 33.2).