Handball · France Proligue · 16/10, 20:30

Prediction: Pontault-Combault vs US Saintes

Team pages: Pontault-Combault · US Saintes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.6Total

Pontault-Combault32

US Saintes29.6

1X2

80% 20%

Pontault-Combault US Saintes

Markets

Under 62.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Pontault-Combault 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLDWW

US Saintes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Pontault-Combault 2–0 US Saintes (2 last)

Pontault-Combault35-28US Saintes
US Saintes25-35Pontault-Combault

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pontault-Combault 1548 · US Saintes 1432

	Pontault-Combault	US Saintes
Our model	74%	26%
Market	78%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 61.6 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.6Pontault-Combault 32 · US Saintes 29.6

Over / Under 62.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~60.6 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pontault-Combault (rating 1548 vs 1432).
Pontault-Combault is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Pontault-Combault: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pontault-Combault	US Saintes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.2 / 31.7	29.3 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 31	28.8 / 30.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.6

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.9

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.16

X12.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 62.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:44 +32’	1.16	12.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pontault-Combault 2–0–0 US Saintes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 France Proligue	Pontault-Combault	35-28	US Saintes
17/10/25 France Proligue	US Saintes	25-35	Pontault-Combault

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Billere	6	6	0	0	188	158	12
2	JS Cherbourg	6	6	0	0	200	183	12
3	Ivry	6	5	0	1	200	171	10
4	Cournon d'Auvergne	6	4	1	1	198	178	9
5	Dijon	6	4	0	2	192	165	8
6	Pontault-Combault	6	3	1	2	192	185	8
7	Creteil	6	4	0	2	187	180	8
8	Sarrebourg	6	3	0	3	173	180	6
9	Val D'Oise	6	2	1	3	182	185	5
10	Draguignan VHB	6	2	0	4	160	192	4
11	US Saintes	6	2	0	4	171	177	4
12	Grand Besançon	6	2	0	4	177	191	4
13	Valence	6	1	1	4	193	205	4
14	Istres Provence	6	1	0	5	162	170	2
15	Massy	6	1	0	5	172	195	2
16	Frontignan	6	0	0	6	170	202	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pontault-Combault	US Saintes
Massy	37-30 W	27-26 W
Cournon d'Auvergne	29-34 L	26-32 L
Valence	36-33 W	30-24 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pontault-Combault (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pontault-Combault

WWLLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/10	Istres Provence France Proligue	29-23	W
09/10	Massy France Proligue	37-30	W
02/10	Val D'Oise France Proligue	37-37	D
18/09	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	29-31	L
11/09	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	29-34	L
04/09	Dijon France Proligue	31-30	W
31/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	30-34	L
28/05	Caen Handball France Proligue	32-35	L
24/05	Valence France Proligue	36-33	W
20/05	Valence France Proligue	32-30	W

US Saintes

LLWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Sarrebourg France Proligue	29-30	L
02/10	Draguignan VHB France Proligue	23-27	L
25/09	Grand Besançon France Proligue	38-31	W
18/09	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	26-32	L
11/09	Billere France Proligue	28-31	L
04/09	Massy France Proligue	27-26	W
03/05	Ivry France Proligue	33-37	L
24/04	Valence France Proligue	30-24	W
17/04	Massy France Proligue	31-36	L
14/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	28-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pontault-Combault vs US Saintes?

Our model gives 80% to Pontault-Combault.

How many points are expected in Pontault-Combault vs US Saintes?

The model estimates 61.6 total points (Pontault-Combault 32 · US Saintes 29.6).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to under 62.5 points (70%).