Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 11/10, 18:30

Prediction: RK Celje vs MRK Krka

Team pages: RK Celje · MRK Krka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.8Total

RK Celje33.1

MRK Krka30.7

1X2

73% 27%

RK Celje MRK Krka

Recent form · 10 last

RK Celje 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWLW

MRK Krka 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWDWDW

Head-to-head

RK Celje 5–1 MRK Krka (6 last)

RK Celje35-26MRK Krka
MRK Krka30-31RK Celje
MRK Krka26-32RK Celje
RK Celje38-29MRK Krka
MRK Krka34-29RK Celje
RK Celje26-24MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Celje 1535 · MRK Krka 1514

	RK Celje	MRK Krka
Our model	63%	37%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 63.8 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.8RK Celje 33.1 · MRK Krka 30.7

Match keys

RK Celje is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Celje	MRK Krka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.6 / 32.5	29.9 / 29.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.2 / 32.2	32 / 29.8
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.8

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X11.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 63.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:31	1.25	11.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Celje 5–0–1 MRK Krka

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	35-26	MRK Krka
25/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	30-31	RK Celje
07/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-32	RK Celje
12/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	38-29	MRK Krka
04/04/25 Slovenia Cup	MRK Krka	34-29	RK Celje
11/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	26-24	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	6	5	1	0	211	173	11
2	RD Slovan	6	5	0	1	213	159	10
3	MRK Krka	6	4	2	0	188	172	10
4	RK Gorenje Velenje	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
5	RK Celje	6	4	0	2	206	182	8
6	RD Loka	6	3	1	2	182	180	7
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	6	2	2	2	174	168	6
8	RK Ormoz	6	2	2	2	178	185	6
9	RK Ajdovscina	6	1	1	4	178	204	3
10	SD Skofljica	6	1	0	5	170	217	2
11	RD Ribnica	6	0	1	5	170	197	1
12	RK Svis	6	0	0	6	155	196	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Celje	MRK Krka
RD Loka	38-27 W	34-29 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-29 L	28-23 W
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	37-35 W	29-27 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Celje

LWWWWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	38-27	W
27/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
20/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	34-33	W
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L

MRK Krka

LWDDWWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-27	W
26/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
22/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Celje vs MRK Krka?

Our model gives 73% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in RK Celje vs MRK Krka?

The model estimates 63.8 total points (RK Celje 33.1 · MRK Krka 30.7).