Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: SD Skofljica vs RK Gorenje Velenje

Team pages: SD Skofljica · RK Gorenje Velenje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

SD Skofljica29.8

RK Gorenje Velenje31.2

1X2

36% 64%

SD Skofljica RK Gorenje Velenje

Recent form · 10 last

SD Skofljica 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLWLLL

RK Gorenje Velenje 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWWLWW

Head-to-head

SD Skofljica 1–3 RK Gorenje Velenje (4 last)

RK Gorenje Velenje30-23SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica31-30RK Gorenje Velenje
SD Skofljica23-34RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje30-24SD Skofljica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Skofljica 1487 · RK Gorenje Velenje 1534

	SD Skofljica	RK Gorenje Velenje
Our model	53%	47%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61SD Skofljica 29.8 · RK Gorenje Velenje 31.2

Match keys

H2H favours RK Gorenje Velenje: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SD Skofljica	RK Gorenje Velenje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 34.2	28.2 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 36.6	30.2 / 27.6
Est. result	30	31

Est. total61

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 60.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +24’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Skofljica 1–0–3 RK Gorenje Velenje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	30-23	SD Skofljica
11/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	31-30	RK Gorenje Velenje
03/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	23-34	RK Gorenje Velenje
09/09/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	30-24	SD Skofljica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	6	5	1	0	211	173	11
2	RD Slovan	6	5	0	1	213	159	10
3	MRK Krka	6	4	2	0	188	172	10
4	RK Gorenje Velenje	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
5	RK Celje	6	4	0	2	206	182	8
6	RD Loka	6	3	1	2	182	180	7
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	6	2	2	2	174	168	6
8	RK Ormoz	6	2	2	2	178	185	6
9	RK Ajdovscina	6	1	1	4	178	204	3
10	SD Skofljica	6	1	0	5	170	217	2
11	RD Ribnica	6	0	1	5	170	197	1
12	RK Svis	6	0	0	6	155	196	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Skofljica	RK Gorenje Velenje
RD Slovan	28-46 L	25-35 L
RK Svis	31-26 W	31-25 W
RK Celje	33-40 L	29-28 W
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-34 L	27-30 L
RD Ribnica	40-34 W	29-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RK Gorenje Velenje (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Skofljica

LDWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	28-46	L
26/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
19/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	27-34	L
12/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
05/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-40	L
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L

RK Gorenje Velenje

LLDDLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-25	W
27/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
20/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-30	L
16/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
05/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
02/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
23/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-35	L
24/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Skofljica vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

Our model gives 64% to RK Gorenje Velenje.

How many points are expected in SD Skofljica vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

The model estimates 61 total points (SD Skofljica 29.8 · RK Gorenje Velenje 31.2).