Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Sandefjord vs Kristiansand

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.3Total

Sandefjord30.8

Kristiansand28.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Sandefjord Kristiansand

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWLL

Kristiansand 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Sandefjord 4–1–1 Kristiansand (6 last)

Sandefjord32-22Kristiansand
Kristiansand28-33Sandefjord
Sandefjord33-31Kristiansand
Kristiansand36-24Sandefjord
Kristiansand23-23Sandefjord
Kristiansand29-31Sandefjord

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandefjord 1538 · Kristiansand 1460

	Sandefjord	Kristiansand
Our model	70%	30%
Market	34%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 59.3 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.3Sandefjord 30.8 · Kristiansand 28.5

Match keys

H2H favours Sandefjord: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sandefjord	Kristiansand
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 29	29.4 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 31.4	28.6 / 32.8
Est. result	31	29

Est. total59.3

Line O/U56.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

X8.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 2.4 · Est. total: 58.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +40’	2.70	8.00	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 4–1–1 Kristiansand

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	32-22	Kristiansand
30/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	28-33	Sandefjord
15/12/21 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	33-31	Kristiansand
06/10/21 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	36-24	Sandefjord
09/09/20 Norway Cup	Kristiansand	23-23	Sandefjord
19/02/20 Norway 1st Division	Kristiansand	29-31	Sandefjord

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	2	2	0	69	56	4
2	Runar Sandefjord	2	2	0	64	55	4
3	Kolstad	2	1	1	64	57	2
4	Nærbø IL	1	1	0	31	25	2
5	Follo	1	1	0	27	22	2
6	Fjellhammer	1	1	0	23	22	2
7	Drammen	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Sandefjord	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	OIF Arendal	1	0	1	22	23	0
10	Sandnes	1	0	1	22	27	0
11	Kristiansand	1	0	1	25	31	0
12	Bergen Handball	2	0	2	53	61	0
13	Bergsoy	1	0	1	23	33	0
14	Viking TIF	1	0	1	27	38	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord	Kristiansand
Bergen Handball	31-37 L	28-30 L
OIF Arendal	32-30 W	27-28 L
Elverum	26-34 L	32-39 L
Bækkelaget	26-20 W	38-29 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansand (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandefjord

WLLWWLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/04	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	31-37	L
15/04	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	26-34	L
11/04	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-22	W
08/04	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	32-30	W
15/03	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-34	L
11/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-26	W
08/03	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	30-29	W
27/02	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-34	L
22/02	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	22-24	L
14/02	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	26-20	W

Kristiansand

LLWWWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-31	L
11/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-32	L
03/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-39	L
28/03	Follo Norway Eliteserien	36-32	W
15/03	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	28-30	L
08/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	38-29	W
04/03	Halden Norway Eliteserien	23-20	W
22/02	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	28-24	W
18/02	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	35-46	L
11/02	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	27-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Kristiansand?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sandefjord 51% · Kristiansand 49%).

How many points are expected in Sandefjord vs Kristiansand?

The model estimates 59.3 total points (Sandefjord 30.8 · Kristiansand 28.5).