Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Kristiansand vs Fjellhammer

Team pages: Kristiansand · Fjellhammer

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.7Total

Kristiansand27.5

Fjellhammer30.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Kristiansand Fjellhammer

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansand 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLLLL

Fjellhammer 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kristiansand 2–2–2 Fjellhammer (6 last)

Fjellhammer27-27Kristiansand
Kristiansand34-28Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer23-23Kristiansand
Kristiansand35-21Fjellhammer
Kristiansand28-38Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer30-27Kristiansand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristiansand 1477 · Fjellhammer 1562

	Kristiansand	Fjellhammer
Our model	48%	52%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 57.7 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.7Kristiansand 27.5 · Fjellhammer 30.2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kristiansand	Fjellhammer
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 31.4	28.4 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 33	26.8 / 29.4
Est. result	28	30

Est. total57.7

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.95

Under 57.51.75

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 58.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:05 +49’	2.50	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansand 2–2–2 Fjellhammer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	27-27	Kristiansand
14/09/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	34-28	Fjellhammer
18/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	23-23	Kristiansand
15/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	35-21	Fjellhammer
09/12/23 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	28-38	Fjellhammer
02/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	30-27	Kristiansand

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Runar Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	64	55	4
2	Elverum	2	2	0	0	69	56	4
3	Nærbø IL	2	2	0	0	61	50	4
4	Kolstad	3	2	0	1	97	80	4
5	Fjellhammer	3	1	1	1	79	81	3
6	OIF Arendal	2	1	0	1	55	52	2
7	Drammen	1	1	0	0	29	26	2
8	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
9	Viking TIF	2	1	0	1	62	67	2
10	Follo	2	1	0	1	56	55	2
11	Kristiansand	3	0	1	2	85	92	1
12	Sandnes	2	0	0	2	51	62	0
13	Bergsoy	2	0	0	2	48	63	0
14	Bergen Handball	3	0	0	3	76	94	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansand	Fjellhammer
Sandefjord	30-31 L	29-30 L
Elverum	32-39 L	32-33 L
Follo	36-32 W	33-32 W
Bergen Handball	28-30 L	34-28 W
Bækkelaget	38-29 W	26-21 W
Drammen	35-46 L	26-29 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fjellhammer (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristiansand

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-31	L
29/08	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-31	L
11/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-32	L
03/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-39	L
28/03	Follo Norway Eliteserien	36-32	W
15/03	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	28-30	L
08/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	38-29	W
04/03	Halden Norway Eliteserien	23-20	W
22/02	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	28-24	W
18/02	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	35-46	L

Fjellhammer

WLWWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	26-29	L
30/08	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	23-22	W
22/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
16/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L
11/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	27-33	L
08/04	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-14	W
28/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	26-21	W
15/03	Follo Norway Eliteserien	33-32	W
08/03	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	29-30	L
01/03	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	34-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansand vs Fjellhammer?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kristiansand 44% · Fjellhammer 56%).

How many points are expected in Kristiansand vs Fjellhammer?

The model estimates 57.7 total points (Kristiansand 27.5 · Fjellhammer 30.2).