Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 18:00

Prediction: Drammen vs Follo

Team pages: Drammen · Follo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

Drammen31

Follo29

1X2

75% 25%

Drammen Follo

Recent form · 10 last

Drammen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWLLW

Follo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Drammen 5–1 Follo (6 last)

Follo30-32Drammen
Drammen34-27Follo
Follo34-28Drammen
Drammen28-22Follo
Drammen36-35Follo
Drammen32-19Follo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Drammen 1542 · Follo 1458

	Drammen	Follo
Our model	71%	29%
Market	71%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60Drammen 31 · Follo 29

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drammen (rating 1542 vs 1458).
Drammen is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Drammen: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Drammen	Follo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 30.3	30.9 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 31.4	30.4 / 30.8
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X9.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 61.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +17’	1.27	9.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Drammen 5–0–1 Follo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	30-32	Drammen
29/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	34-27	Follo
18/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	34-28	Drammen
11/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	28-22	Follo
22/08/20 Club Friendlies	Drammen	36-35	Follo
11/03/20 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	32-19	Follo

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	2	2	0	69	56	4
2	Nærbø IL	2	2	0	61	50	4
3	Runar Sandefjord	2	2	0	64	55	4
4	OIF Arendal	2	1	1	55	52	2
5	Drammen	1	1	0	29	26	2
6	Fjellhammer	2	1	1	49	51	2
7	Kolstad	2	1	1	64	57	2
8	Sandefjord	1	1	0	31	30	2
9	Viking TIF	2	1	1	62	67	2
10	Follo	2	1	1	56	55	2
11	Kristiansand	2	0	2	55	62	0
12	Bergen Handball	2	0	2	53	61	0
13	Sandnes	2	0	2	51	62	0
14	Bergsoy	2	0	2	48	63	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drammen	Follo
Fjellhammer	29-26 W	32-33 L
Elverum	33-32 W	26-30 L
Runar Sandefjord	34-25 W	38-32 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Drammen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drammen

WWWLWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	29-26	W
27/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	24-39	L
23/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	30-34	L
06/05	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	33-32	W
02/05	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-26	D
25/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	34-25	W
22/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	35-39	L
19/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	34-28	W
11/04	Follo Norway Eliteserien	32-30	W
08/04	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	28-24	W

Follo

LWWLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
30/08	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	27-22	W
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
08/04	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
28/03	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-36	L
15/03	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
08/03	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	24-29	L
01/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	38-32	W
22/02	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	37-33	W
14/02	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drammen vs Follo?

Our model gives 75% to Drammen.

How many points are expected in Drammen vs Follo?

The model estimates 60 total points (Drammen 31 · Follo 29).