Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 17:30
Prediction: Sandnes vs Elverum
Prediction summary
Estimated points
57.1Total
Sandnes25.1
Elverum32
1X2
Sandnes
Elverum
Markets
Under 60.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Sandnes
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Elverum
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sandnes
0–6
Elverum
(6 last)
- Elverum35-24Sandnes
- Sandnes22-34Elverum
- Elverum36-24Sandnes
- Sandnes28-42Elverum
- Sandnes20-40Elverum
- Elverum37-28Sandnes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandnes 1430 · Elverum 1626
| Sandnes | Elverum | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 8% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
57.1 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -3.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points57.1Sandnes 25.1 · Elverum 32
Over / Under 60.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~56.4 pts · strength 4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elverum (rating 1430 vs 1626).
- Elverum is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Elverum: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sandnes | Elverum | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 23.2 / 29.5 | 32.1 / 28.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25.8 / 26.4 | 32 / 29.4 |
| Est. result | 25 | 32 |
Est. total57.1
Line O/U60.5
Diff.3.4
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes 0–0–6 Elverum
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Norway Eliteserien | Elverum | 35-24 | Sandnes |
| 15/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 22-34 | Elverum |
| 18/12/24 Norway Eliteserien | Elverum | 36-24 | Sandnes |
| 15/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 28-42 | Elverum |
| 10/04/24 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 20-40 | Elverum |
| 18/11/23 Norway Eliteserien | Elverum | 37-28 | Sandnes |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elverum | 2 | 2 | 0 | 69 | 56 | 4 |
| 2 | Nærbø IL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 50 | 4 |
| 3 | Runar Sandefjord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 64 | 55 | 4 |
| 4 | OIF Arendal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 52 | 2 |
| 5 | Drammen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 26 | 2 |
| 6 | Fjellhammer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 51 | 2 |
| 7 | Kolstad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 57 | 2 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 30 | 2 |
| 9 | Viking TIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 62 | 67 | 2 |
| 10 | Follo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 55 | 2 |
| 11 | Kristiansand | 2 | 0 | 2 | 55 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 | Bergen Handball | 2 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 61 | 0 |
| 13 | Sandnes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 | Bergsoy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 63 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sandnes | Elverum |
|---|---|---|
| Viking TIF | 29-35 L | 38-27 W |
| Fjellhammer | 14-28 L | 33-32 W |
| Kolstad | 16-40 L | 24-26 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Elverum (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandnes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Viking TIF Norway Eliteserien |
29-35 | L |
| 30/08 | Follo Norway Eliteserien |
22-27 | L |
| 29/04 | Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien |
29-22 | W |
| 22/04 | Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien |
27-20 | W |
| 11/04 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
22-28 | L |
| 08/04 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
14-28 | L |
| 27/03 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
24-35 | L |
| 15/03 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
34-28 | W |
| 08/03 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
16-40 | L |
| 28/02 | Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien |
15-32 | L |
Elverum
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
31-29 | W |
| 30/08 | Viking TIF Norway Eliteserien |
38-27 | W |
| 06/05 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
32-33 | L |
| 02/05 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
26-26 | D |
| 22/04 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
33-32 | W |
| 16/04 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
30-26 | W |
| 11/04 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
33-27 | W |
| 03/04 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
39-32 | W |
| 27/03 | Sandnes Norway Eliteserien |
35-24 | W |
| 15/03 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
24-26 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandnes vs Elverum?
Our model gives 82% to Elverum.
How many points are expected in Sandnes vs Elverum?
The model estimates 57.1 total points (Sandnes 25.1 · Elverum 32).
Over or under 60.5 points?
Recent history points to under 60.5 points (65%).