Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Runar Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL

Team pages: Runar Sandefjord · Nærbø IL

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.6Total

Runar Sandefjord31.6

Nærbø IL30

1X2

77% 23%

Runar Sandefjord Nærbø IL

Recent form · 10 last

Runar Sandefjord 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWLWW

Nærbø IL 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Runar Sandefjord 3–3 Nærbø IL (6 last)

Runar Sandefjord32-28Nærbø IL
Nærbø IL35-33Runar Sandefjord
Nærbø IL36-28Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord40-33Nærbø IL
Nærbø IL37-30Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord35-30Nærbø IL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Runar Sandefjord 1566 · Nærbø IL 1485

	Runar Sandefjord	Nærbø IL
Our model	70%	30%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 61.6 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.6Runar Sandefjord 31.6 · Nærbø IL 30

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Runar Sandefjord (rating 1566 vs 1485).
Runar Sandefjord is a clear favourite (77% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Runar Sandefjord	Nærbø IL
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 31	29.1 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 31.6	27.6 / 29.4
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.6

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.80

Under 59.51.90

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 60.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	9.00 → 10.00▲	Bet365 10.00
2	4.25 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +5’	1.32	9.00	4.25
22:19 +29’	1.12▼	12.00▲	7.50▲
15:53 +1’	1.25▲	10.00▼	5.00▼
16:44 +10’	1.22▼	10.00	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Runar Sandefjord 3–0–3 Nærbø IL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	32-28	Nærbø IL
08/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Nærbø IL	35-33	Runar Sandefjord
06/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Nærbø IL	36-28	Runar Sandefjord
08/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	40-33	Nærbø IL
10/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Nærbø IL	37-30	Runar Sandefjord
19/11/23 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	35-30	Nærbø IL

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Runar Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	64	55	4
2	Elverum	2	2	0	0	69	56	4
3	Nærbø IL	2	2	0	0	61	50	4
4	Kolstad	3	2	0	1	97	80	4
5	Fjellhammer	3	1	1	1	79	81	3
6	OIF Arendal	2	1	0	1	55	52	2
7	Drammen	1	1	0	0	29	26	2
8	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
9	Viking TIF	2	1	0	1	62	67	2
10	Follo	2	1	0	1	56	55	2
11	Kristiansand	3	0	1	2	85	92	1
12	Sandnes	2	0	0	2	51	62	0
13	Bergsoy	2	0	0	2	48	63	0
14	Bergen Handball	3	0	0	3	76	94	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Runar Sandefjord	Nærbø IL
Kolstad	34-31 W	24-33 L
Bergen Handball	30-24 W	27-29 L
Drammen	25-34 L	29-33 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Runar Sandefjord (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Runar Sandefjord

LLWLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
29/08	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	30-24	W
25/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	25-34	L
22/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	39-35	W
19/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	28-34	L
11/04	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-22	W
08/04	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	31-35	L
15/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	33-27	W
11/03	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L
07/03	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	27-38	L

Nærbø IL

LWWLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien	30-25	W
29/08	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	31-25	W
22/04	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	24-33	L
15/04	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	26-35	L
11/04	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	27-29	L
08/04	Follo Norway Eliteserien	31-34	L
15/03	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
08/03	Halden Norway Eliteserien	27-23	W
04/03	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	33-29	W
01/03	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	33-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Runar Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL?

Our model gives 77% to Runar Sandefjord.

How many points are expected in Runar Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL?

The model estimates 61.6 total points (Runar Sandefjord 31.6 · Nærbø IL 30).