Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Follo vs OIF Arendal

Team pages: Follo · OIF Arendal

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

Follo31.1

OIF Arendal32.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Follo OIF Arendal

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Follo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLWLW

OIF Arendal 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLDLWL

Head-to-head

Follo 1–5 OIF Arendal (6 last)

OIF Arendal29-24Follo
Follo40-39OIF Arendal
OIF Arendal36-32Follo
Follo26-38OIF Arendal
Follo29-33OIF Arendal
OIF Arendal32-24Follo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo 1474 · OIF Arendal 1488

	Follo	OIF Arendal
Our model	58%	42%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +6.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3Follo 31.1 · OIF Arendal 32.2

Match keys

H2H favours OIF Arendal: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo	OIF Arendal
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.1 / 31.9	29.7 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 30.8	29.8 / 30.6
Est. result	31	32

Est. total63.3

Line O/U56.5

Diff.6.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 56.52.00

Under 56.51.72

Diff.: 4.75 · Est. total: 61.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +43’	2.55	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 1–0–5 OIF Arendal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	29-24	Follo
26/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	40-39	OIF Arendal
09/03/25 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	36-32	Follo
30/10/24 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	26-38	OIF Arendal
18/12/19 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	29-33	OIF Arendal
22/09/19 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	32-24	Follo

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	2	2	0	69	56	4
2	Runar Sandefjord	2	2	0	64	55	4
3	Kolstad	2	1	1	64	57	2
4	Nærbø IL	1	1	0	31	25	2
5	Follo	1	1	0	27	22	2
6	Fjellhammer	1	1	0	23	22	2
7	Drammen	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Sandefjord	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	OIF Arendal	1	0	1	22	23	0
10	Sandnes	1	0	1	22	27	0
11	Kristiansand	1	0	1	25	31	0
12	Bergen Handball	2	0	2	53	61	0
13	Bergsoy	1	0	1	23	33	0
14	Viking TIF	1	0	1	27	38	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo	OIF Arendal
Drammen	30-32 L	31-31 D
Nærbø IL	34-31 W	29-33 L
Kristiansand	32-36 L	28-27 W
Fjellhammer	32-33 L	22-23 L
Sandefjord	31-41 L	30-32 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: OIF Arendal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo

LLWWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	27-22	W
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
08/04	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
28/03	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-36	L
15/03	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
08/03	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	24-29	L
01/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	38-32	W
22/02	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	37-33	W
14/02	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L
11/02	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	31-41	L

OIF Arendal

WWDLWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	22-23	L
11/04	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	37-36	W
08/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
28/03	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	31-31	D
15/03	Halden Norway Eliteserien	29-31	L
08/03	Follo Norway Eliteserien	29-24	W
04/03	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
22/02	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	31-31	D
14/02	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	31-30	W
11/02	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	28-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo vs OIF Arendal?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Follo 48% · OIF Arendal 52%).

How many points are expected in Follo vs OIF Arendal?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (Follo 31.1 · OIF Arendal 32.2).