Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Sokol Tasovice vs TJ Tatran Bohunice

Team pages: Sokol Tasovice · TJ Tatran Bohunice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Sokol Tasovice1.37

TJ Tatran Bohunice1.54

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Sokol Tasovice Draw TJ Tatran Bohunice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Tasovice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWLWLD

TJ Tatran Bohunice 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Sokol Tasovice 1–2–3 TJ Tatran Bohunice (6 last)

Sokol Tasovice0-3TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice1-2TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-1Sokol Tasovice
TJ Tatran Bohunice4-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice1-0TJ Tatran Bohunice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Tasovice 1488 · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1579

	Sokol Tasovice	Draw	TJ Tatran Bohunice
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	35%	23%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Tatran Bohunice (rating 1488 vs 1579).
H2H favours TJ Tatran Bohunice: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Tasovice	TJ Tatran Bohunice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	3.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.90

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.91 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:35 +45’	3.00	4.00	1.91
14:14 +5’	2.63▼	3.90▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Tasovice 1–2–3 TJ Tatran Bohunice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	0-3 HT 0-2	TJ Tatran Bohunice
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Tasovice
16/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	1-2 HT 0-2	TJ Tatran Bohunice
10/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 HT 1-0	Sokol Tasovice
20/05/23 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	4-1 HT 3-1	Sokol Tasovice
09/10/22 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	1-0 HT 0-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Tasovice	TJ Tatran Bohunice
Havlickuv Brod	1-4 L	2-1 W
AFC Humpolec	4-2 W	4-1 W
SC Znojmo	0-1 L	2-1 W
FC Chotebor	4-1 W	1-1 D
Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 W	1-0 W
FS Trebic	1-1 D	0-1 L
Sparta Brno	2-3 L	1-2 L
FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky	0-0 D	3-1 W
FC Kurim	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Tatran Bohunice (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Tasovice

DDLDWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
25/10	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	3	9	W
18/10	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
11/10	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-1	–	–	W
04/10	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
27/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
13/09	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D

TJ Tatran Bohunice

WWWLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
01/11	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/10	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
17/10	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/10	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
19/09	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
05/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Tasovice vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Tatran Bohunice win (41%). Probabilities: Sokol Tasovice 34%, draw 25%, TJ Tatran Bohunice 41%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Tasovice vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Sokol Tasovice 1.37 · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Tasovice vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.