Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: SC Znojmo vs Velke Mezirici

Team pages: SC Znojmo · Velke Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

SC Znojmo2.3

Velke Mezirici1.42

1X2

56% 21% 23%

SC Znojmo Draw Velke Mezirici

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Znojmo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLWLDD

Velke Mezirici 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLDWL

Head-to-head

SC Znojmo 1–3–2 Velke Mezirici (6 last)

SC Znojmo2-2Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici2-2SC Znojmo
SC Znojmo2-1Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici3-3SC Znojmo
Velke Mezirici3-0SC Znojmo
SC Znojmo2-3Velke Mezirici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Znojmo 1487 · Velke Mezirici 1468

	SC Znojmo	Draw	Velke Mezirici
Our model	56%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Velke Mezirici: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Znojmo	Velke Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.33

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.60▲	Bet365 1.60
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +28’	1.50	4.50	4.50
06:14 +3’	1.60▲	4.33▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Znojmo 1–3–2 Velke Mezirici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SC Znojmo	2-2 HT 2-2	Velke Mezirici
14/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-2 HT 0-1	SC Znojmo
07/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SC Znojmo	2-1 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici
09/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Mezirici	3-3 HT 0-2	SC Znojmo
13/03/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Mezirici	3-0 HT 0-0	SC Znojmo
06/08/21 Czechia 3. Liga	SC Znojmo	2-3 HT 0-1	Velke Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Znojmo	Velke Mezirici
FK Pelhrimov	0-0 D	0-5 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-2 D	3-2 W
FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Chotebor	2-4 L	2-3 L
Zdar nad Sazavou	2-0 W	2-1 W
FS Trebic	6-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Znojmo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Znojmo

WWLDLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	1	8	D
24/10	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
18/10	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
10/10	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
04/10	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
27/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
19/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	8	5	L
13/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
05/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	5	2	W

Velke Mezirici

WLLWLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-3	2	3	L
01/11	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
25/10	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
17/10	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	2	5	L
11/10	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	4-4	2	3	D
03/10	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
27/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
20/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Znojmo vs Velke Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Znojmo win (56%). Probabilities: SC Znojmo 56%, draw 21%, Velke Mezirici 23%.

How many goals are expected in SC Znojmo vs Velke Mezirici?

The model expects 3.72 goals (SC Znojmo 2.3 · Velke Mezirici 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Znojmo vs Velke Mezirici?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.