Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Kurim

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · FC Kurim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Zdar nad Sazavou1.45

FC Kurim2.37

1X2

22% 21% 57%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw FC Kurim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWLW

FC Kurim 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 1–3 FC Kurim (4 last)

Zdar nad Sazavou0-2FC Kurim
FC Kurim3-1Zdar nad Sazavou
FC Kurim3-2Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou1-0FC Kurim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1440 · FC Kurim 1586

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	FC Kurim
Our model	22%	21%	57%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kurim (rating 1440 vs 1586).
H2H favours FC Kurim: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	FC Kurim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	4.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.20

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.40 → 1.57▲	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +30’	5.50	4.50	1.40
09:03 +10’	4.10▼	4.20▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 1–0–3 FC Kurim

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Kurim
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	3-1 HT 3-1	Zdar nad Sazavou
12/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	3-2 HT 2-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
08/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kurim

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	FC Kurim
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	3-0 W	13-0 W
Velke Mezirici	1-2 L	3-0 W
FK Pelhrimov	4-0 W	2-4 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-2 D	6-1 W
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-1 L	0-3 L
Sokol Tasovice	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zdar nad Sazavou

LLLLLLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
01/11	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/10	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	3	D
10/10	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
04/10	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
26/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	13	4	L
13/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L

FC Kurim

DLWLWWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
31/10	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
24/10	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	7-0	10	1	W
18/10	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	5	5	W
10/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	13-0	–	–	W
03/10	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
27/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
19/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	6-1	4	4	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Kurim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kurim win (57%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 22%, draw 21%, FC Kurim 57%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Kurim?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 1.45 · FC Kurim 2.37), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Kurim?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.