Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: Frydek Mistek B vs Kravare

Team pages: Frydek Mistek B · Kravare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Frydek Mistek B1.63

Kravare1.86

1X2

34% 23% 43%

Frydek Mistek B Draw Kravare

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWDDW

Kravare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek B 1527 · Kravare 1566

	Frydek Mistek B	Draw	Kravare
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek B	Kravare
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.63

X4.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63
X	4.20 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +8’	3.30	4.20	1.75
16:00 +19’	2.63▼	4.00▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek B	Kravare
TJ Novy Jicin	1-0 W	4-0 W
Pusta Polom	1-1 D	2-1 W
SSK Bilovec	2-2 D	2-0 W
Bridlicna	4-2 W	2-2 D
FK Bohumin	1-2 L	1-5 L
SK Zabreh	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kravare (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	9	W
01/11	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
25/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	0	0	D
18/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	10	3	W
11/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
20/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	4	5	L

Kravare

WLDWWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
31/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
25/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
16/10	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/10	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	0	4	W
04/10	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
27/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
13/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	8	5	L
06/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek B vs Kravare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kravare win (43%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek B 34%, draw 23%, Kravare 43%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek B vs Kravare?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Frydek Mistek B 1.63 · Kravare 1.86), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek B vs Kravare?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.