Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: Sparta Brno vs FC Spartak Velka Bites

Team pages: Sparta Brno · FC Spartak Velka Bites

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Sparta Brno2.01

FC Spartak Velka Bites1.7

1X2

45% 23% 33%

Sparta Brno Draw FC Spartak Velka Bites

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Brno 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Spartak Velka Bites 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sparta Brno 1–1 FC Spartak Velka Bites (2 last)

FC Spartak Velka Bites2-1Sparta Brno
Sparta Brno2-1FC Spartak Velka Bites

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1587 · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1541

	Sparta Brno	Draw	FC Spartak Velka Bites
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Brno (rating 1587 vs 1541).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Brno	FC Spartak Velka Bites
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:55 +6’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 1–0–1 FC Spartak Velka Bites

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-1 HT 1-0	Sparta Brno
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Spartak Velka Bites

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Brno	FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky	4-1 W	3-4 L
FC Kurim	2-2 D	1-3 L
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	5-2 W	6-3 W
Velke Mezirici	5-1 W	2-0 W
FK Pelhrimov	3-0 W	2-0 W
Sokol Tasovice	3-2 W	2-2 D
Havlickuv Brod	1-3 L	2-0 W
AFC Humpolec	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Brno (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Brno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
31/10	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	1	8	D
24/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	5-2	8	1	W
17/10	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	5	5	W
11/10	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/10	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	5	4	W
25/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
19/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

FC Spartak Velka Bites

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
01/11	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	3-4	6	5	L
24/10	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
11/10	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-1	6	4	W
04/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-3	10	1	W
27/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
20/09	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
12/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs FC Spartak Velka Bites?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Brno win (45%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 45%, draw 23%, FC Spartak Velka Bites 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs FC Spartak Velka Bites?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Sparta Brno 2.01 · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1.7), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs FC Spartak Velka Bites?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.