Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 08/11, 15:30

Prediction: USI Azzurri vs FC Prishtina Bern

Team pages: USI Azzurri · FC Prishtina Bern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

USI Azzurri1.59

FC Prishtina Bern1.62

1X2

37% 25% 38%

USI Azzurri Draw FC Prishtina Bern

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

USI Azzurri 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Prishtina Bern 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USI Azzurri 1606 · FC Prishtina Bern 1593

	USI Azzurri	Draw	FC Prishtina Bern
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	38%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USI Azzurri	FC Prishtina Bern
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.8	3.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.7	2.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.75

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.52 ★
X	3.80 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.41

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +4’	2.05	3.80	2.70
22:39 +13’	2.38▲	3.75▼	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +16’	2.51	3.54	2.40
02:40 +37’	2.52▲	3.47▼	2.41▲
11:34 +53’	2.49▼	3.62▲	2.38▼
14:02 +21’	2.52▲	3.68▲	2.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USI Azzurri	12	10	0	2	29	12	30
2	FC Prishtina Bern	12	9	2	1	36	10	29
3	FC Portalban Gletterens	13	7	2	4	23	15	23
4	Servette II	13	6	4	3	25	24	22
5	FC Monthey	13	5	5	3	21	18	20
6	Sion II	13	5	4	4	17	18	19
7	Lausanne Sport II	12	4	5	3	21	15	17
8	CS Chênois	12	5	2	5	21	20	17
9	FC Oberwallis Naters	13	5	2	6	24	33	17
10	Lancy FC	13	5	1	7	22	23	16
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	5	1	7	17	32	16
12	FC Echallens	13	4	3	6	20	28	15
13	Meyrin	13	4	2	7	21	22	14
14	FC Coffrane	12	3	4	5	17	16	13
15	Stade Payerne	12	3	2	7	21	30	11
16	Vevey-Sports	13	1	1	11	17	36	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USI Azzurri	FC Prishtina Bern
Meyrin	1-0 W	5-1 W
FC Echallens	6-1 W	4-0 W
FC Oberwallis Naters	3-1 W	4-0 W
La Chaux-de-Fonds	6-1 W	4-1 W
FC Monthey	2-1 W	1-2 L
FC Coffrane	2-1 W	1-0 W
Stade Payerne	2-1 W	4-1 W
CS Chênois	1-0 W	1-1 D
Servette II	1-2 L	6-0 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 1 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USI Azzurri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/10	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/10	FC Echallens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	6-1	–	–	W
03/10	FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/09	La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	6-1	–	–	W
19/09	FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	FC Coffrane Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L

FC Prishtina Bern

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	5-1	–	–	W
24/10	FC Echallens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-0	–	–	W
10/10	FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	FC Coffrane Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
12/09	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	3-1	4-1	3	8	W
05/09	CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	3-0	6-0	4	3	W
22/08	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USI Azzurri vs FC Prishtina Bern?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Prishtina Bern win (38%). Probabilities: USI Azzurri 37%, draw 25%, FC Prishtina Bern 38%.

How many goals are expected in USI Azzurri vs FC Prishtina Bern?

The model expects 3.21 goals (USI Azzurri 1.59 · FC Prishtina Bern 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in USI Azzurri vs FC Prishtina Bern?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.