Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: CS Chênois vs FC Monthey

Team pages: CS Chênois · FC Monthey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

CS Chênois1.81

FC Monthey1.4

1X2

47% 24% 29%

CS Chênois Draw FC Monthey

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Chênois 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLLWWL

FC Monthey 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Chênois 0–2–0 FC Monthey (2 last)

FC Monthey3-3CS Chênois
CS Chênois2-2FC Monthey

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Chênois 1500 · FC Monthey 1521

	CS Chênois	Draw	FC Monthey
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Chênois	FC Monthey
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +13’	1.90	3.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Chênois 0–2–0 FC Monthey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Monthey	3-3	CS Chênois
23/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	CS Chênois	2-2	FC Monthey

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina Bern	13	10	2	1	38	11	32
2	USI Azzurri	13	10	0	3	30	14	30
3	FC Portalban Gletterens	13	7	2	4	23	15	23
4	Servette II	13	6	4	3	25	24	22
5	Lausanne Sport II	13	5	5	3	22	15	20
6	FC Monthey	13	5	5	3	21	18	20
7	Sion II	13	5	4	4	17	18	19
8	CS Chênois	13	5	2	6	22	22	17
9	FC Oberwallis Naters	13	5	2	6	24	33	17
10	FC Coffrane	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	Lancy FC	13	5	1	7	22	23	16
12	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	5	1	7	17	32	16
13	FC Echallens	13	4	3	6	20	28	15
14	Meyrin	13	4	2	7	21	22	14
15	Stade Payerne	13	3	2	8	21	31	11
16	Vevey-Sports	13	1	1	11	17	36	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Chênois	FC Monthey
Servette II	1-2 L	3-2 W
Vevey-Sports	0-4 L	3-2 W
FC Portalban Gletterens	1-1 D	0-1 L
Sion II	2-0 W	2-1 W
Lancy FC	4-2 W	1-2 L
FC Prishtina Bern	1-1 D	2-1 W
USI Azzurri	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Chênois

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Coffrane Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
24/10	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
03/10	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-4	–	–	L
26/09	FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	USI Azzurri Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

FC Monthey

WDDLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/10	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/10	FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	USI Azzurri Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
05/09	FC Echallens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Chênois vs FC Monthey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Chênois win (47%). Probabilities: CS Chênois 47%, draw 24%, FC Monthey 29%.

How many goals are expected in CS Chênois vs FC Monthey?

The model expects 3.21 goals (CS Chênois 1.81 · FC Monthey 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Chênois vs FC Monthey?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.