Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Stade Payerne vs FC Coffrane

Team pages: Stade Payerne · FC Coffrane

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Stade Payerne1.49

FC Coffrane1.62

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Stade Payerne Draw FC Coffrane

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stade Payerne 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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FC Coffrane 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Stade Payerne 0–1–1 FC Coffrane (2 last)

FC Coffrane1-1Stade Payerne
Stade Payerne1-2FC Coffrane

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Payerne 1447 · FC Coffrane 1513

	Stade Payerne	Draw	FC Coffrane
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Coffrane (rating 1447 vs 1513).
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stade Payerne	FC Coffrane
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0.5	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.97
2	2.05 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.61 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +28’	2.70	3.75	2.05
06:17 +1’	2.75▲	3.70▼	2.05
15:55 +13’	2.55▼	3.60▼	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +7’	2.16	3.97	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Payerne 0–1–1 FC Coffrane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Coffrane	1-1 HT 0-1	Stade Payerne
27/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	Stade Payerne	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Coffrane

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina Bern	13	10	2	1	38	11	32
2	USI Azzurri	13	10	0	3	30	14	30
3	FC Portalban Gletterens	14	8	2	4	25	16	26
4	Servette II	13	6	4	3	25	24	22
5	Lausanne Sport II	13	5	5	3	22	15	20
6	FC Monthey	13	5	5	3	21	18	20
7	Sion II	13	5	4	4	17	18	19
8	CS Chênois	13	5	2	6	22	22	17
9	FC Oberwallis Naters	13	5	2	6	24	33	17
10	FC Coffrane	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	Lancy FC	13	5	1	7	22	23	16
12	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	5	1	7	17	32	16
13	FC Echallens	14	4	3	7	21	30	15
14	Meyrin	13	4	2	7	21	22	14
15	Stade Payerne	13	3	2	8	21	31	11
16	Vevey-Sports	13	1	1	11	17	36	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stade Payerne	FC Coffrane
CS Chênois	1-3 L	2-1 W
Servette II	3-3 D	2-1 W
Vevey-Sports	3-1 W	5-1 W
FC Portalban Gletterens	0-3 L	2-3 L
Sion II	0-2 L	1-1 D
Lancy FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Prishtina Bern	1-4 L	0-1 L
USI Azzurri	1-2 L	1-2 L
Meyrin	2-6 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Coffrane (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Payerne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
24/10	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-3	–	–	D
10/10	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-3	1-4	2	8	L
05/09	USI Azzurri Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-6	–	–	L

FC Coffrane

DLLLWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/11	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
25/10	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	5-1	5	5	W
09/10	FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	2-3	1	5	L
04/10	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
13/09	USI Azzurri Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	FC Echallens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Payerne vs FC Coffrane?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Coffrane win (40%). Probabilities: Stade Payerne 35%, draw 25%, FC Coffrane 40%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Payerne vs FC Coffrane?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Stade Payerne 1.49 · FC Coffrane 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Payerne vs FC Coffrane?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.