Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 15/11, 14:00
Prediction: Servette II vs La Chaux-de-Fonds
Team pages: Servette II · La Chaux-de-Fonds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.16Total
Servette II2.88
La Chaux-de-Fonds1.28
1X2
Servette II
Draw
La Chaux-de-Fonds
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Servette II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
La Chaux-de-Fonds
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Servette II
4–0
La Chaux-de-Fonds
(4 last)
- La Chaux-de-Fonds1-3Servette II
- Servette II3-0La Chaux-de-Fonds
- Servette II2-1La Chaux-de-Fonds
- Servette II2-1La Chaux-de-Fonds
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Servette II 1532 · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1432
| Servette II | Draw | La Chaux-de-Fonds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 17% | 14% |
| Market | 70% | 16% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Servette II (rating 1532 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Servette II: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Servette II | La Chaux-de-Fonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette II 4–0–0 La Chaux-de-Fonds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1-3 | Servette II |
| 30/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Servette II | 3-0 HT 0-0 | La Chaux-de-Fonds |
| 17/11/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Servette II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | La Chaux-de-Fonds |
| 27/11/22 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Servette II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | La Chaux-de-Fonds |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Prishtina Bern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | USI Azzurri | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Portalban Gletterens | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Monthey | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 23 |
| 5 | Servette II | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 24 | 22 |
| 6 | Sion II | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
| 7 | Lausanne Sport II | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Oberwallis Naters | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | CS Chênois | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Coffrane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 11 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancy FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Echallens | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 15 |
| 14 | Meyrin | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 14 |
| 15 | Stade Payerne | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 11 |
| 16 | Vevey-Sports | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Servette II | La Chaux-de-Fonds |
|---|---|---|
| Lausanne Sport II | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Vevey-Sports | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Portalban Gletterens | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sion II | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Lancy FC | 3-1 W | 1-5 L |
| FC Prishtina Bern | 0-6 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Servette II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Servette II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/11 | FC Coffrane Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-3 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
La Chaux-de-Fonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | USI Azzurri Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | FC Echallens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Servette II vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette II win (70%). Probabilities: Servette II 70%, draw 16%, La Chaux-de-Fonds 14%.
How many goals are expected in Servette II vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?
The model expects 4.16 goals (Servette II 2.88 · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Servette II vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.