Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Uruguay Montevideo
Team pages: Paysandu FC · Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo1-0Paysandu FC
| Paysandu FC | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paysandu FC (rating 1530 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu FC | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/11/44% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.9 | 6.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 0–0–1 Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Paysandu FC |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paysandu FC | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Colon FC | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Rentistas | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Tacuarembo | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Plaza Colonia | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| La Luz | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 03/10 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 12/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paysandu FC win (56%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 56%, draw 26%, Uruguay Montevideo 18%.
How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Paysandu FC 1.63 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.8), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.